Rangers vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 8, 2023

Rangers at Cubs

8:05 pm • Fox Sports 1

Texas Rangers

0-0

3 - 10

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.06	16-5
M.Perez			4.45	10-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rangers 0-0	+1.5-210	o7.5+100	+105
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+172	u7.5-120	-125

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 08, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

M.Perez o4.5 Ks-141

0.71u

CHC -115

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 8, 2023 UTC

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Corey Seager slugged .580 on fastballs last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Justin Steele threw fastballs 64% of the time last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Adolis Garcia had a miss rate of 27% on fastballs last season -- eighth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Justin Steele threw fastballs 64% of the time last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 43% (1,117/2,576) against Martin Perez since last season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (54/102) against Justin Steele on elevated fastballs since the 2021 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 98th Percentile.

Hitters swung at 53% of Martin Perez's pitches (404/767) with two-strikes in 2022 -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% -- second Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (26/77) versus Justin Steele with runners in scoring position in 2022 -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 0 Percentile.

The Rangers are just 1-83 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Rangers are just 57-11 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cubs are just 18-28 (.391) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .545.

The Cubs are just 26-28 (.481) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .662.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Rangers	70-91	37-44	33-47	35-56	34-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Rangers	74-79-8	32-47-2	42-32-6	40-47-4	34-30-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Rangers	78-84	44-37	33-47	52-39	24-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	TEX	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 6.5	CHC -122
Apr 4th	@CIN	W 12-5	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CHC -130
Apr 3rd	@CIN	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9	CIN -120
Apr 2nd	MIL	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 9	MIL -130
Apr 1st	MIL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 6.5	MIL +100

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

Corey Seager
IF
Seager is out with hip
Out
Tyler Mahle
P
Mahle is out with shoulder
Out
Evan Carter
OF
Carter is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	90	5	5	2
RI. Kennedy, P	13	0.1	1	1
LB.Burke, P	9	0.2	1	0
LT. Hearn, P	49	1.2	2	4
RD.Dunning, P	10	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-5	1	0
2C.Seager, SS	2-4	1	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	2-4	0	2
4A.Garcia, CF	0-4	0	0
5J.Jung, 3B	1-4	0	1
6R.Grossman, RF	0-4	0	0
7M.Garver, DH	0-2	0	0
8J.Heim, C	1-4	0	0
9E.Duran, LF	0-2	0	0
9J.Smith, PH	0-1	1	0
9J.Smith, LF	0-1	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	96	6	3	1
RK.Thompson, P	30	1	1	1
RB. Boxberger, P	14	1	0	0
RM.Rucker, P	22	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	2-4	2	0	1
3I.Happ, LF	1-4	0	0	3
4T. Mancini, 1B	3-5	1	0	1
5P.Wisdom, RF	2-4	2	1	1
6L.Torrens, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6E. Hosmer, PH	1-2	0	0	2
6E. Hosmer, DH	1-2	0	0	2
7C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8Y.Gomes, C	1-4	1	1	1
9N.Madrigal, 3B	2-4	2	0	0