Rays vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - June 17, 2023

Rays at Padres

11:15 pm • FOX

Tampa Bay Rays

2-4

0 - 2

San Diego Padres

2-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			2.25	14-9
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 2-4	N/A	N/A	N/A
Padres 2-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

June 17, 2023

Petco ParkSan Diego

TB +100

TB -110 (F5)

1.1u

Eflin 3.22 SIERA/2.88 xERA, Snell 4.30/4.81 - SDP 95 wRC+ v RHP, TBR 143 v LHP - Would like to avoid TB pen, so F5

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-110

$1.00

SD -108

0.93u

FanDuel 2:08.

SD -110

Over 8.5-105

0.53u

Z.Eflin o4.5 Ks-120

1.67u

SD -115

$0.87

SD +100

0.5u

The Sharp Side for Rays-Padres
Alex Kolodziej•
Jun 17, 2023 UTC

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The Padres are just 6-9 (.400) after a home win this season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.

The Rays are 23-6 (.793) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Rays are 6-1 (.857) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

65% of fastball strikeouts for Harold Ramirez are located out of the zone this season -- fifth highest among hitters with at least 102 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. 59% of Blake Snell fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

35% of Juan Soto strikeouts are looking this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 48% of Jake Diekman strikeouts are looking this season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .226 (137 PA's) vs left-handed batters this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 -- 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (13/96) against Zach Eflin this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 97th Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 32% of batters they faced (74/233 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% -- first Percentile.

Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 58% (726/1,257) this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-1	0-2
Rays	2-4	N/A	2-4	1-2	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	2-3-1	2-3-1	N/A	0-3-1	2-0
Rays	5-1	N/A	5-1	3-0	2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-2	0-2
Rays	2-4	N/A	2-4	1-2	1-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 17th	TB	L 2-6	-	-	-
Jun 16th	CLE	L 6-8	-	-	-
Jun 15th	CLE	W 5-0	-	-	-
Jun 14th	CLE	W 6-3	-	-	-
Jun 11th	@COL	L 4-5	-	-	-

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Taylor Walls
SS
Walls is out with groin
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with lower body
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	90	6	5	2
RS.Armstrong, P	10	1	1	0
RZ.Littell, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3H.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
6T.Walls, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Margot, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8F.Mejia, C	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Siri, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LB.Snell, P	102	6	12
RS.Wilson, P	13	1	2
RN.Martinez, P	7	1	1
LJ.Hader, P	19	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-3	0	0
2J.Soto, LF	0-2	0	1
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-4	0	0
6G.Sanchez, C	0-3	0	0
7M.Carpenter, DH	0-2	0	0
8H.Kim, 2B	1-3	1	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-3	1	0