Twins vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Twins at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

Minnesota Twins

6-8

4 - 0

Chicago White Sox

5-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			4.58	7-9
S.Gray			2.79	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 6-8	-1.5-118	o8.5-105	-185
White Sox 5-12	+1.5-102	u8.5-115	+149

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

September 17, 2023

Rate FieldChicago

S.Gray o5.5 Ks-105

1.05u

Expecting Sonny and the Twins to close this series out strong. Sonny hasn’t allowed many runs and was able to put together 5 strikeouts in his last outing against the Rays (who are a lot stronger than the Sox). Even after the Sox win last night, I feel good about Sonny mowing down the competition today and hitting the over through the course of about 6 innings.

Under 8.5-105

1.1u

Good line here with two starting pitchers who should keep the score low.

Featured Insight
White Sox have struck out 24% this season -- ninth-highest in MLB. Twins have a strikeout rate of 25% this season -- tied for highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Twins have scored 1.5 runs per game in late innings this season -- eighth-highest in MLB (149 games). The White Sox have allowed 1.7 runs per game in late innings this season -- highest in MLB (149 games).

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The White Sox are just 28-36 (.438) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Christian Vazquez has an OPS of just .585 this season -- 11th worst among hitters with at least 220 total PA's-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .546 (263 PAs) this season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Andrew Benintendi is slugging just .380 since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Sonny Gray has allowed a SLG of just .332 vs left-handed batters since last season -- seventh best among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 47 of 350 right-handed batters (13%) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 16th	MIN	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 9	CWS +190
Sep 15th	MIN	L 2-10	+1.5 L	O 9	MIN +146
Sep 14th	MIN	L 2-10	+1.5 L	O 9	MIN +160
Sep 13th	KC	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -158
Sep 13th	KC	L 10-11	-1.5 L	O 9.5	KC -137

Ky Bush
P
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RS.Gray, P	81	7	6
RG.Jax, P	13	1	1
RE.Pagan, P	22	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
1A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
3W.Castro, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Lewis, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Wallner, RF	2-4	0	0	0
7A. Stevenson, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	1-3	1	0	0
9K.Farmer, 3B	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P		106	6	5	3
RL.Patino, P		34	3	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E. Andrus, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Benintendi, LF	2-4	0	0	0
3A.Vaughn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5G.Sheets, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6T. Thompson, CF	2-3	0	0	0
7L.Sosa, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8Z.Remillard, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Lee, C	0-3	0	0	0