Angels vs Mariners Pick, Predictions | MLB Odds (Sunday, June 2)

Angels vs Mariners Pick, Predictions | MLB Odds (Sunday, June 2) article feature image
Credit:

Via Scott Taetsche/Getty Images. Pictured: J.P. Crawford #3 of the Seattle Mariners looks on against the Washington Nationals during the first inning at Nationals Park on May 25, 2024 in Washington, DC.

Angels vs. Mariners Pick

Angels Logo
Sunday, June 2
4:10 p.m. ET
MLB Network
Mariners Logo
Angels Odds
MoneylineTotalRun Line
+176
7.5
-102/-120
+1.5
-126
Mariners Odds
MoneylineTotalRun Line
-210
7.5
-102/-120
-1.5
+105
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo

The Mariners will look to finish off a series sweep over the Angels Sunday and are heavy favorites to do so with Luis Castillo (3.28 ERA, 71 1/3 IP) on the mound. Griffin Canning will start for Los Angeles (5.08 ERA, 56 and 2/3 IP) and is looking to build upon a quietly stellar month of May.

Find my Angels vs. Mariners pick and MLB betting preview for Sunday, June 2 below.


Check out our MLB Betting Hub for more previews from today's slate.

Header First Logo

Los Angeles Angels

After an absolutely horrific start to the season, Canning bounced back with a 2.40 ERA across 27 and 2/3 innings in May.

He did still allow a high WHIP at 1.34 while his Strikeout Rate remained consistent with his season-long mark at 6.50 batters per nine innings. Surprisingly, his Hard-hit Rate actually rose to 45% in those five outings.

Consequently, it does not necessarily seem that Canning is in that much better of form than his ugly start of the season. Instead, he's just in a more favorable stretch of play in terms of batted balls not getting down for hits.

Canning owns a Stuff+ rating of 87 and a Location+ rating of 98 in 2024. He has allowed an OPS of .942 versus left-handed batters, which is the worst mark in MLB among qualified starters. He has struck out just 17% of left-handed batters faced this season.

Over the last month, the Angels have hit to a sixth-worst wRC+ of only 85 against right-handed pitching. They struck out 22.9% of the time and put up a wOBA of only .290.


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Seattle Mariners

The Angels provide a great matchup for Castillo to grab his fifth win of the season. Castillo owns an xERA of 3.72 in 2024 and an xFIP of 3.59. He owns a Stuff+ rating of 100 and a Pitching+ rating of 104. He still features a ton of velocity, as his fastballs have averaged 96 MPH this season, which is the 13th-highest mark among qualified starters.

The Mariners bullpen was projected to be a significant strength once again this season, and it has been a key reason they are now ahead of the Rangers and Astros in the division. Mariners relievers own an ERA of 3.66 over the last 30 days and an eighth-best xFIP of 3.78. Kirby Snead will be unavailable for this matchup, but the bullpen is otherwise in good shape.

The Mariners have hit to a wRC+ of 94 versus right-handed pitching over the last 30 days, with an OPS of .655. J.P. Crawford has struggled to a .313 Slugging percentage this season versus righties in a small sample, but he was one of Seattle's better batters versus righties last season with a .463 Slugging percentage.


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Angels vs. Mariners

Betting Pick & Prediction

At the Mariners' opening moneyline price of -190, they looked to be the side holding clear betting value. However, the market now seems to have adjusted accordingly because Seattle is -200 to win the game and -210 to win the first five innings.

Canning has been one of the weaker full-time starters in the American League this season with his 5.08 ERA. His underlying numbers suggest he is not any better than that number suggests, and there is obviously a gigantic starting pitching edge for Seattle.

The Mariners' quality bullpen is also in strong form ahead of this matchup, and the Angels have been far worse in splits against right-handed pitching this season.

One prop bet that does look quite appealing in this matchup is backing Crawford to stay hot and record Over 1.5 Total Bases at +145.

Canning has been the worst starter in baseball against lefties so far this season, and Crawford looks to be finding his form again after being out of the lineup for a month.

Pick: J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Total Bases +145 (bet365 | Play to +140)

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About the Author
Handicapper focusing mainly on the NHL, and NHL futures wagers. Lover and sometimes hater of analytics, keen to use them as a guide but looking to identify their flaws, and what can make them skewed. Avid Washington Capitals fan and Tom Wilson supporter (don’t hate me).

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