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A’s vs Braves Predictions, Odds, F5 Pick

A’s vs Braves Predictions, Odds, F5 Pick article feature image
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Imagn Images. Pictured: Athletics IF Nick Kurtz.

The Braves (2-1) host the Athletics (0-3) on Monday, March 30, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-CA and BravesVision.

The Braves are favored by -136 on the moneyline and by -1.5 (+149) on the run line. The Athletics are +113 on the moneyline to pull off the upset and +1.5 (-181) on the run line. The total is set at 9 (-105o / -115u).

Find my MLB picks and A's vs Braves prediction below, as well as the latest MLB odds, betting trends, probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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A's vs Braves Prediction, F5 Pick

  • Athletics vs Braves Pick: Athletics F5 ML (+115 or Better)

My Athletics vs Braves best bet is on the Athletics to win the first five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


A's vs Braves Odds & Lines

Athletics Logo
Monday, March 30
7:15 p.m. ET
NBCS-CA
Braves Logo
Athletics Odds
Run LineOver/UnderMoneyline
+1.5
-181
9
-105o / -115u
+113
Braves Odds
Run LineOver/UnderMoneyline
-1.5
+149
9
-105o / -115u
-136
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
DraftKings Logo
  • Athletics vs Braves spread: Braves -1.5 (+149), Athletics +1.5 (-181)
  • Athletics vs Braves over/under: 9 (-105o / -115u)
  • Athletics vs Braves moneyline: Athletics +113, Braves -136

A's vs Braves Polymarket Odds

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A's vs Braves Prediction, F5 Pick

Due to a drastic difference in bullpen quality, I project the Athletics as near -110 favorites for the first five innings, but make the Braves around the same price for the full game.

As a result, while there is value on the A's to win the game compared to overnight odds (best +120), there is a more significant edge on their odds to win the first five innings (F5), and you can either take their F5 moneyline to -105, or play their F5 spread (+0.5 runs) to -140. And if you're so inclined, I would lay their -0.5 runline at +150 or better.

After their series in Toronto, the Athletics bullpen – which already ranks near the bottom of the league projection-wise- is my worst projected bullpen on Monday's slate (even behind the Nationals and Rockies, and a trio of exhausted bullpens for the Angels, Astros, and Rangers).

I am much higher on Jacob Lopez (3.63 xERA, 4.13 xFIP, 19% K-BB%, 98 Stuff+, 100 Pitching+ in 2025; projected FIP range 4.05 to 4.57), who I think is underprojected, than I am on Bryce Elder (career 4.61 xERA, 4.23 xFIP, 10.6% K-BB%, 90 Stuff+, 95 Pitching+; projected FIP range 4.10 to 4.39), who I think is overprojected, given their respective performance and pitch modeling data.

The A's should get the better of the offensive splits during the first half of the game, too. The platoon lineups for both teams carry a projected average of a 115 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, compared to a 108 mark against lefties, giving Nick Kurtz (151), Tyler Soderstrom (124), Lawrence Butler (110), and Jeff McNeil (110) their better split (three project below average against lefties), while forcing Drake Baldwin (103 vs. 124), Matt Olson (110 vs. 136), and Michael Harris (119 vs. 94) into their lesser ones.

The Braves have a pair of left-handed relievers (Dylan Lee and Aaron Bummer) to neutralize Kurtz and Co. late; the A's only lefty reliever is Hogan Harris, who has thrown the most pitches (36 on Friday and Saturday) among their high-leverage arms and carries below-average projections (4.51 weighted FIP).

It's A's first five or pass.

Pick: Athletics F5 ML (+115 or Better)

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A's vs Braves Betting Trends


A's vs Braves Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming

Location:Truist Park in Atlanta, Ga.
Date:Monday, March 30
Time:7:15 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming Options:NBCS-BA; BravesVision

A's vs Braves Weather


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Author Profile
About the Author

Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.

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