The St. Louis Cardinals host the Cincinnati Reds on June 20, 2025. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSMW.
Brady Singer will start for the Reds and Andre Pallante will start for the Cardinals in the opener of a three-game series between these NL Central rivals.
Find my MLB betting preview and Reds vs Cardinals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
Reds vs Cardinals pick: Under 9 (-120, BetMGM)
My Reds vs Cardinals best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Cardinals Odds, Spread
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 9 100o / -120u | +115 |
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 9 100o / -120u | -135 |
Reds vs Cardinals Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Brady Singer (CIN) | Stat | RHP Andre Pallante (STL) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | W-L | 4-3 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 4.34/4.88 | ERA /xERA | 4.83/4.33 |
| 4.39/4.63 | FIP / xFIP | 4.58/3.60 |
| 1.34 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 8.8 | K-BB% | 8.5 |
| 34.7 | GB% | 63.8 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 98 | Location+ | 103 |
My Reds vs Cardinals Betting Preview
Due to recent performances, the total line might be slightly overestimating these two offenses. The Reds rank 18th in the majors with a 97 wRC+ and the Cardinals are 13th with a 105 mark.
While they've been more productive in the last seven days — both with a 123 wRC+ — that's a small sample size with a value way above their norm for the season.
Singer will take the mound for Cincinnati, and in his previous start against St. Louis on April 30, he only conceded two hits, one of them a solo homer to account for the only run allowed in his six innings of work.
He'll oppose Pallante, who was also featured in that series. Although he didn't perform as well as Singer, the right-hander had a quality start against the Reds on April 28, allowing three runs and six hits while striking out four.
Pallante is also due for positive regression since his expected numbers are much better than his regular ERA and FIP, as you can see in the above starting pitchers chart.
He also has a 63.8% ground-ball percentage and will pitch at home in Busch Stadium, one of the league's least favorable parks for home runs.
Only four other stadiums rank below Busch in Statcast Park Factors' leaderboard in this department: Progressive Field, Kauffman Stadium, PNC Park and Oracle Park.
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Betting Analysis
The "Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams" system from Bet Labs aligns with this recommendation.
In this system, both teams have solid win percentages (51–100%), but the public is heavily favoring the over (≤35% under bets).
In matchups between winning teams, sportsbooks often inflate totals due to perceived offensive capability, yet these teams also tend to have stronger pitching and tighter late-game execution, leading to a profitable edge on the under.
Pick: Under 9 (-120, BetMGM)
