Wednesday's MLB card offers sharp bettors a unique opportunity to challenge the public consensus on four contrarian MLB picks for August 7.
One effective strategy among the myriad PRO Systems — our backtested betting trends supported by historical data — is the concept of fading the public through our "Contrarian" series of angles. Though controversial, it's simply an added layer of handicapping utilizing our proprietary betting data.
This approach focuses on wagering against the most popular picks collected in our data, with compelling results found by analyzing tickets vs. money wagered. The second metric is particularly insightful, carrying more weight in these evaluations than tickets.
Basically, it's sometimes wise to bet against what we'd consider a popular pick. This contrarian approach has demonstrated edges in various spots, and Wednesday’s slate of MLB picks provides several key matches.
The four games in focus are Diamondbacks vs. Guardians (Game 1), Brewers vs. Braves, Red Sox vs. Royals and Phillies vs. Dodgers.
Each of these tilts fits well within our contrarian strategy framework, making them strong candidates to consider on Wednesday.
