Dodgers vs Padres Odds
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-175 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -1.5 -105 |
| San Diego Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
+145 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +1.5 -115 |
NL West rivals, the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, commence their third regular-season series on Friday at Petco Park, kicking off an important three-game set for both clubs.
Dodgers ace Tyler Glasnow looks to cement his early bid for the NL Cy Young Award with another quality outing. Glasnow has pitched to an ERA of 2.70 in 50 innings, and he was effective in the Seoul series versus the Padres.
Padres right-hander Michael King hopes to build on a strong start last time out versus the Arizona Diamondbacks — a game in which he threw six shutout innings and earned his third victory of the season.
Dodgers vs Padres odds for Friday have the Dodgers listed as -175 moneyline favorites, with an over/under of 7.5. Find my Dodgers vs Padres prediction below.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers enter Friday's matchup in the midst of a seven-game winning streak. In fact, Los Angeles has won 14 of its last 16 games — and during that span, the Dodgers offense has averaged 6.3 runs scored per game.
Granted, LA is likely due to cool off to some extent moving forward. Sustaining a 6.3 runs per game average in today's MLB is next to impossible.
Though, the Dodgers lineup is one of the most talented lineups in history, and its underlying process suggests that it is the best offense in MLB.
During the last 14 days, the Dodgers own an absurd BB/K ratio of 0.70. On top of their elite plate discipline, they also boast the highest hard-hit rate (36.2%) during that span. LA's wRC+ (145) and OPS (.860) also rank first.
On top of all that, the Dodgers' 138 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching also ranks first in MLB.
Tyler Glasnow enters this matchup as the second-favorite (+500) to win the NL Cy Young at bet365. He has pitched to an xERA of 2.43 and an xFIP 2.58.
Glasnow holds a Stuff+ of 116, with elite ratings on his cutter and four-seamer. He holds a Location+ of 100 and a Pitching+ of 105.
San Diego Padres
The logic behind the addition of Luis Arraez seemed strong, and he has fit well into what is now a pretty scary Padres lineup. In his brief five-game tenure with the Padres, Arraez has gotten off on the right foot with a .905 OPS and .450 slug-rate.
During the last 14 days, the Padres boast an 11th-best wRC+ of 107. Further, San Diego claims the eighth-best season-long xwOBA of .329. The Padres have been particularly excellent versus right-handed pitching, with a fourth-best wRC+ of 121.
Michael King enters Friday's tilt with the Dodgers sporting an xERA of 4.77 and an xFIP of 4.22. King reports a Stuff+ rating of 92 and a Location+ of 101. Put simply: He's not getting a lot of swing-and-misses, and batters aren't chasing balls, either.
Dodgers vs. Padres
Betting Pick & Prediction
The Padres offense should continue to trend towards being a top-third unit the rest of the way. Arraez makes a perfect edition at the top of the lineup, and they have been in good form offensively entering this critical rivalry series.
San Diego has been one of the best teams in MLB versus right-handed pitching, which creates a matchup of strength-on-strength as the Padres face a Cy Young-caliber righty in Glasnow.
The Dodgers lineup is firing on all cylinders and could become a historically strong unit the rest of the way. They should be able to get to King early and get into what has been an average Padres bullpen.
It's no surprise to see a low total of 7.5 in a game involving Glasnow at Petco Park, but that number underrates the chance that the Padres can do some damage. It's also hard to imagine King find much success versus the Dodgers' stacked lineup, though, and that should help the total get past 7.5.
Bet the over 7.5 at anything better than -115.
