A pair of right-handers are set to square off on Friday at Yankee Stadium as Yoshinobu Yamamoto is slated to take the mound for the Dodgers against the Yankees' Cody Poteet.
Let's dive into my my Dodgers vs Yankees same game parlay for Friday night, which features three legs that include a moneyline and player props for Yamamoto and Poteet.
Here's my Dodgers vs Yankees parlay, which includes prop picks for starters Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Cody Poteet.
Remember to bet responsibly — this is a long shot for a reason.
Dodgers vs Yankees Same Game Parlay (Friday)
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-156)
- Cody Poteet Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+124)
- Dodgers ML (-126)
Parlay Odds: +415 (FanDuel)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-156)
Yamamoto has been excellent in his rookie campaign, posting a 6-2 record with a 3.32 ERA and 1.12 WHIP through his first 12 starts.
Based on his underlying metrics, regression is unlikely as he boasts a 3.35 xERA.
Specifically, we're going to back the right-hander in the strikeout market; you can currently find his line at 5.5 on FanDuel. Yamamoto has surpassed this total in each of his past four starts.
This season, the rookie ranks in the 77th percentile in chase rate, 64th percentile in whiff rate and 83rd percentile in strikeout rate.
That success is likely to continue against a New York lineup that has never faced Yamamoto prior to Friday, especially if Juan Soto is unable to play due to his forearm injury.
Cody Poteet Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+124)
Like Yamamoto, Poteet has put together a strong start to his campaign, albeit in a much smaller sample size.
Through two starts, Poteet is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.
However, his underlying metrics suggest that regression is looming as he possesses a 3.40 xERA. Although he doesn't officially qualify, Poteet would rank in the bottom half of the league in xBA, average exit velocity, chase rate and whiff rate.
It's those last two statistics that make me want to fade his strikeout prop. Poteet possessed a much larger sample size in his last season (2022), a year in which he put together a mere 18.4 strikeout rate.
Dodgers ML -126
If we're fading Poteet while simultaneously backing Yamamoto, then a highly correlated outcome would be the Dodgers winning this game.
Both teams rank in the top five of the league in runs scored per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS and home runs, so there's no differential there.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles possesses the pitching advantage between Yamamoto and Poteet, especially when you consider that Poteet has gotten away with a few questionable outings to start the season and is due for regression.
That just leaves two aspects left to consider: the bullpen and home field.
Both relief staffs rank in the top three of the league in ERA, so again, no differential there.
That just leaves home field, which obviously belongs to New York. However, I don't think that advantage offsets the difference between Yamamoto and Poteet.
The lineup advantage also tilts towards L.A. if Soto is out.
