Giants vs Phillies Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+105 | 8 -105o / -115u | +1.5 -165 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-125 | 8 -105o / -115u | -1.5 +135 |
Giants vs Phillies odds have the Phillies as -144 moneyline favorites with an over/under of 7.5 (-110o /-110u) for the Wednesday afternoon game at Oracle Park.
A pair of left-handers are set to square off as Christopher Sanchez is slated to take the mound for Philadelphia while San Francisco hands the ball to Kyle Harrison.
For my Giants vs Phillies pick and prediction, I will be looking at the total.
San Francisco Giants
Harrison has seen some mixed results this season, posting a 3.90 ERA and 1.30 WHIP through 11 starts. He enters this matchup in particularly poor form, allowing three or more runs in each of his past three starts.
Over that stretch, the southpaw possesses a fade-worthy 6.00 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. There were 11 or more total runs scored in each of those three outings.
Harrison's underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely, given that he ranks in the 24th percentile or lower in xERA, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
Following Harrison is a fade-worthy bullpen that ranks 24th in the league in ERA.
With that said, this pitching staff could get plenty of run support as San Francisco ranks in the top half of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG and OPS.
Philadelphia Phillies
That success at the plate is likely to continue against Sanchez. Through 10 starts this season, the left-hander is 2-3 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
That WHIP number is particularly concerning, especially when you combine it with the fact that Sanchez ranks in the bottom half of the league in xBA, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.
Like San Francisco, I'm not sure we can trust that Philadelphia bullpen.
Entering this matchup, the Phillies' relief pitching ranks in the bottom half of the league in ERA.
However, also like the Giants', this Philadelphia pitching staff is likely to receive an abundance of run support as this lineup ranks in the top five of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS, home runs and stolen bases.
This success is likely to continue against Harrison. While it is a small sample size, this current Phillies lineup boasts a dominating .417 BA, .833 SLG and .548 wOBA through 14 combined career plate appearances against the left-hander.
Giants vs Phillies
Betting Pick & Prediction
Both pitchers' ERAs aren't terrible, which is the only reason this total is as low as 7.5.
However, both guys possess a WHIP north of 1.29 and rank in the bottom half of the league in xBA, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.
Furthermore, both bullpens rank in the bottom half of the league in ERA.
On the other hand, each lineup ranks in the top half of the league in runs scored per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS and home runs.
The weather should also give us a nice boost, given that the forecast calls for a humid afternoon, clear skies and strong winds blowing directly out to center field.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-110) | Play to -115
