Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | +100 |
| Orioles Odds | -120 |
| Total | 8 (-110 / -110) |
| Date | Tuesday, Aug. 22 |
| Time | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Tuesday afternoon.
The Toronto Blue Jays begin a three-game series with the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park on Monday night.
Not many people picked the Orioles to finish atop the AL East, but that's exactly where they sit with a little over a month left in the regular season. The Blue Jays, meanwhile, are in third and 8.5 games back of Baltimore.
Yusei Kikuchi is on the bump for the Blue Jays and Grayson Rodriguez will start for the Orioles.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Rodriguez player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication expects Rodriguez to struggle against the Blue Jays and suggests a bet on the under.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Grayson Rodriguez Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Rodriguez is settling in as a solid rookie pitcher for the Orioles. He has a 5.44 ERA, but has steadily improved as the season has progressed.
The right-hander posted a 3.18 ERA in July and has a 2.89 ERA in August.
BetMGM has set his strikeout total at 5.5 with -115 juice on the over. The under is at +105.
The model predicts Rodriguez will have 5.1 strikeouts tonight, good enough for roughly a 12% betting edge.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Grayson Rodriguez Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115)
