Home Run Picks, Advanced MLB Projections Best Bets Thursday

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Matt Olson #28 of the Atlanta Braves (Photo by Matthew Grimes Jr./Atlanta Braves/Getty Images)

Today’s slate of MLB games features an exciting focus on division rivalries, which is also the theme of today's PRO Projections home run picks.

According to our team's proprietary betting data, drawn from a thorough analysis of player projections, betting odds, and market trends, two matchups stand out for their home run potential: the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves and the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox.

Leveraging our expert projections, we dig deeper into the best home run hitters to bet on – or to fade – in these matchups. Our selections are based on a combination of factors including player performance, matchup specifics, park factors, and current prices. Using these criteria, our team identifies where the best betting edges lie, aiming to provide both value and accuracy.

Now, let's transition into our top home run picks for and best bets for today's games, supported by our MLB data.

Home Run Picks, Advanced MLB Projections Best Bets Thursday

The first game we turn our attention to is between the Phillies and Braves.

Truist Park in Atlanta ranks as the ninth-best venue for home runs in Major League Baseball, representing a fertile ground for sluggers.

Home Run Pick for Phillies vs. Braves: