The Detroit Tigers host the Kansas City Royals on July 25, 2026. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ROYL.
The Tigers are favored by -178 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Royals are +150 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Royals vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Royals vs Tigers Prediction
- Royals vs Tigers Pick: Tigers -1.5 (+127 | Play to +120)
My Royals vs Tigers best bet is Tigers -1.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs Tigers Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -152 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +150 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +126 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -178 |
- Royals vs Tigers moneyline: Royals +150, Tigers -178
- Royals vs Tigers over/under: 8.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Royals vs Tigers spread: Royals +1.5 (-152), Tigers -1.5 (+126)
Royals vs Tigers Probable Pitchers
| Michael Wacha (RHP, KC) | Stat | Casey Mize (RHP, DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | W-L | 4-6 |
| 1.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.7 |
| 3.66 / 4.18 | ERA / xERA | 2.79 / 3.14 |
| 4.03 / 4.33 | FIP / xFIP | 2.62 / 3.69 |
| 12.7% | K-BB% | 19.7% |
| 37.9% | GB% | 33.8% |
| .272 | BABIP | .277 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 89 |
| 102 | Location+ | 107 |
Royals vs Tigers MLB Betting Preview
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
Now is the time to sell high on right-hander Michael Wacha, who overperformed in the first half of the campaign. Despite some solid surface-level results, his underlying metrics suggest that regression is looming.
Entering this matchup, Wacha ranks in the bottom half of the league in xERA and xBA. Run support may also be an issue for Wacha.
This season, the Royals rank in the bottom half of the league in runs scored per game, slugging percentage, OPS and home runs.
The Royals' woes at the dish are likely to continue against right-hander Casey Mize, who gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
Through 15 starts this season, Mize owns a 2.79 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Analytically, he is equally impressive.
This year, the former first-overall draft pick ranks in the 85th percentile in xERA, 70th percentile in xBA, 70th percentile in barrel rate and 68th percentile in hard-hit rate. He has also had success against Kansas City.
Over the past four meetings, Mize is 1-0 with a 3.54 ERA. The Tigers should also give Mize good run support against Wacha.
Royals vs Tigers Pick, Betting Analysis
In 177 combined plate appearances against Wacha, this current Detroit roster boasts a .272 xBA, .454 xSLG and .337 xwOBA. The pitching matchup favors the Tigers, while the hitting matchup is likely a wash.
Detroit also boasts home-field advantage, where it has played stronger this season. On the other hand, the Royals bring a troubling 17-35 road record into this contest.
Pick: Tigers -1.5 (+127 | Play to +120)
