The Philadelphia Phillies (55-42) host the Los Angeles Angels (48-49) on Saturday, July 19, 2025. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on NBC Sports Philadelphia and FanDuel Sports West.
The Phillies enter as -130 moneyline favorites and the Angels +110 underdogs. The game total is set at 9 (-115o / -105u).
Find my Angels vs Phillies prediction and MLB betting preview for Saturday below.
Angels vs Phillies Prediction, Moneyline Pick
- Angels vs. Phillies Picks: Phillies Moneyline (-124 · Play to -130)
My Phillies vs. Angels best bet is on Philadelphia to win this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Angels vs Phillies Odds
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -178 | 9.5 -115o / -105u | +110 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 9.5 -115o / -105u | -130 |
Angels vs Phillies Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) | Stat | RHP Taijuan Walker (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | W-L | 3-5 |
| 1.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 3.11 / 4.31 | ERA /xERA | 3.55 / 3.52 |
| 3.98 / 4.07 | FIP / xFIP | 4.30 / 4.42 |
| 1.37 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 13.7% | K-BB% | 9.9% |
| 40.1% | GB% | 43.8% |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 105 | Location+ | 97 |
Angels vs Phillies Preview, Prediction
Angels Betting Preview: Sell Kikuchi?
Now is the time to sell high on Yusei Kikuchi. On the surface, it appears he had a strong first half of the season, posting a 3.11 ERA through 20 starts.
However, the rest of his metrics are more indicative of his true performance. Kikuchi owns a 1.37 WHIP and a 4.31 expected ERA (xERA).
The southpaw also ranks in the bottom half of the league in expected batting average (xBA), average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
While now may be the time to sell high on Kikuchi, it is certainly not the time to buy low on Los Angeles’ lineup. Entering this matchup, the Angels rank in the bottom half of the league in hits per game, on-base percentage (OBP), OPS and stolen bases.
Phillies Betting Preview
The clear hitting advantage goes to Philadelphia, which outranks Los Angeles in each of those four categories, as well as in runs per game and batting average.
Not only will the Phillies boast the hitting edge, but they also possess the pitching advantage with Taijuan Walker on the mound. Walker has fared well in 2025, posting a 3.55 ERA through 20 appearances.
The difference in efficiency between Walker and Kikuchi lies in the analytics, where the clear edge goes to Walker. He ranks in the top third of the league in xERA, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
This success is likely to continue against the Angels, a team he has fared well against. Over his past two meetings with Los Angeles, Walker is 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA.
Angels vs Phillies Prediction, Betting Analysis
There’s a lot to like about Philadelphia in this matchup. Not only does it boast the pitching and hitting advantage, but it will also play in front of a passionate home crowd.
At home this season, the Phillies are 30-17. Meanwhile, the Angels are below .500 on the road.
Pick: Phillies ML (-124 · Play to -130)
Moneyline
As mentioned, I'm betting on the Phillies moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I also like Philadelphia to cover, but I find more value in just taking the outright moneyline price.
Over/Under
I lean toward the under, but I don't trust Kikuchi.
