Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction, F5 Pick, Odds Tonight

Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction, F5 Pick, Odds Tonight article feature image
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Pictured: Garrett Crochet. (Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images)

This article contains predictions for an old game.

The Boston Red Sox (55-50) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (61-43) on Saturday, July 26, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FOX.

It's a battle of southpaws in the second game of this MLB interleague series with Garrett Crochet and Clayton Kershaw taking the hill.

Find my Dodgers vs Red Sox prediction and pick for the first five innings in my MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends and more.

Quickslip

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Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction, F5 Pick

  • Dodgers vs Red Sox pick: Red Sox F5 -0.5 -113 | Play to -125

My Dodgers vs Red Sox best bet is the Red Sox F5 -0.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Dodgers vs Red Sox Odds, Over/Under, Run Line

Dodgers Logo
Saturday, July 26
7:15 p.m. ET
FOX
Red Sox Logo
Dodgers Odds
Run LineOver/UnderMoneyline
+1.5
-162
8.5
-110o / -110u
+134
Red Sox Odds
Run LineOver/UnderMoneyline
-1.5
+134
8.5
-110o / -110u
-158
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Dodgers vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers

LHP Clayton Kershaw (LAD)StatLHP Garrett Crochet (BOS)
4-1W-L11-4
0.8fWAR (FanGraphs)4.5
3.27/4.23ERA /xERA2.19/2.97
4.15/4.27FIP / xFIP2.41/2.71
1.25WHIP1.06
9.2%K-BB%23.9%
47.4%GB%48.8%
94Stuff+114
96Location+98

Dodgers vs Red Sox Preview, Prediction

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Dodgers Betting Preview: Tough Test in Crochet

The Los Angeles Dodgers flexed their muscle in Game 1 of this series and made the most of limited opportunities against Brayan Bello. Teoscar Hernandez's two-run homer put them ahead for good.

However, tonight the long ball will be minimized as they must contend with Garrett Crochet. The Red Sox's young left-hander has been lethal this year as he enters with a 2.19 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.

Crochet has ascended into the game's elite tier of starting pitchers, as he is not just a power pitcher. His command has improved drastically and generated soft contact at a very high rate.

While the Dodgers' lineup was one lefties would fear in 2024, the same cannot be said for 2025. Yes, they still have plenty of pop, but it's been all or nothing as their team BABIP against lefties is just .280.

Even if that number can be attributed to some bad luck, they are still striking out at an above-average rate against lefties this season, and with their power in question for this one, we could see a quiet first few times through the order.


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Red Sox Betting Preview: Poised to Pounce on Declining Kershaw

On the other side of this matchup, the Red Sox get to face a great lefty in his own right, and many would argue he's the greatest left-handed pitcher of this generation.

However, it's clear after many injury-riddled seasons that Clayton Kershaw is in the twilight of his career.

Kershaw has not missed many bats this season, as his strikeout rate is at a career-low 16.2 percent. A majority of that contact has been loud, as his hard-hit rate allowed is in the 16th percentile.

These are not numbers you want to take into a start against the Red Sox, as they have crushed lefties this season. Boston ranks third in wRC+ against lefties and first in BABIP.

Kershaw's xERA of 4.23 suggests significant regression is coming, and we should see it begin tonight.


Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction, F5 Analysis

The Red Sox have received some early support, and it's clear they are the side to back in this matchup. Not only do they have the superior lefty on the mound, but their lineup is more apt against left-handed pitching.

Back Boston to be leading halfway through this one.

Pick: Red Sox F5 -0.5


Moneyline

I have no play on the moneyline.


Run Line (Spread)

Take the Red Sox on the first five run line tonight.


Over/Under

I have no play on the total.


Dodgers vs Red Sox Betting Trends


Dodgers vs Red Sox Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming

Location:Fenway Park in Boston, Mass.
Date:Saturday, July 26
Time:7:15 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming Options:FOX
About the Author
Doug is a college football, college basketball and MLB contributor at the Action Network. He produces content centered around actionable advice with the goal of helping readers become better bettors. He studied journalism at Rutgers and has previously covered the New York Mets, Indianapolis Colts, and Mid-Atlantic region for Perfect Game.

Follow Doug Ziefel @DougZiefel on Twitter/X.

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