The Cleveland Guardians (29-24) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (33-21) on Tuesday, May 27. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA and Guardians TV.
The Dodgers had success in their first game in Cleveland, snagging a comfortable 6-2 win. They had their ace, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, on the hill, so let's see if game two provides a different result with Dustin May taking on the Guardians' Tanner Bibee. The Dodgers are -140 ML favorites.
Find my Dodgers vs Guardians prediction and picks for Tuesday below.
Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction, Picks Today
- Dodgers vs Guardians Pick: Dodgers Moneyline (-140 | Play to -160)
My Dodgers vs Guardians best bet is the Dodgers moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Guardians Odds, Lines
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +130 | 9 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -155 | 9 -110o / -110u | +110 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Projected Starting Pitchers
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | Stat | Dustin May (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | W-L | 2-4 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 3.57 / 3.84 | ERA /xERA | 4.09 / 4.52 |
| 5.10 / 4.42 | FIP / xFIP | 3.99 / 3.64 |
| 1.21 | WHIP | 1.24 |
| 2.4 | K-BB% | 2.7 |
| 42.9 | GB% | 52.1 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 97 | Location+ | 99 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Preview, Prediction
Dodgers Betting Preview: May Steady; Muncy Rising
The Dodgers will have one of their more reliable rotation members taking the hill in game two of this early week set in Cleveland. That’s Dustin May, who posted a 4.09 ERA and 3.99 FIP in 50 2/3 innings through nine starts entering Tuesday.
May has some undesirable batted ball numbers, ranking below the 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in xERA, xBA, average exit velo, hard-hit rate, and chase rate.
The good thing about May is that he’s able to overcome his ugly batted ball data in some cases because he forces a high ground ball rate. He’s always one well-executed sinker from escaping a jam, so he tends to limit damage. If the ball is hit hard on the ground, more often than not, it’s into the fielder’s glove for an out. No harm, no foul.
Offensively, you can argue that the Dodgers haven’t lived up to expectations. But posting a 120 wRC+ since May 10th, which ranks fourth in MLB, is still elite.
They also have the lowest strikeout rate (18.6%) and third-best walk rate (10%) in that span. So if the opposition wants to nibble and try to avoid the Dodgers' hard contact, then they’ll take walks and move the line — there is no real winning against this Dodgers lineup. Throw strikes and pray they don’t hit it hard.
Max Muncy has given the Dodgers' lineup a significant boost. He was an automatic out in April, but he’s matched Shohei Ohtani with a 144 wRC+ across their past 14 games.
Guardians Betting Preview: Troubling Signs for Bibee
There are some concerning trends for Guardians starter Tanner Bibee. He enters with a 3.57 ERA, but his 5.10 FIP signals regression.
Another concern is Bibee’s lack of whiffs. He ranked in the 60th percentile among qualified pitchers in whiff, strikeout, and chase rate last year. However, it has dropped to the 23rd percentile or worse in 2025, with his chase rate sitting in the sixth percentile.
The poor strikeout numbers have greatly affected Bibee’s strikeouts per nine, dipping from 9.69 to 6.67 year over year.
Not only has Bibee's strikeout rate dipped, but his HR/9 rate allowed has jumped to a career-worst 1.71.
He's a very fade-worthy starter here. Cleveland took home the win in six of his ten outings, but facing the Dodgers is a different challenge.
If you mention a team anywhere near the Rockies in a category, it’s typically a bad thing. The only team with a worse wRC+ than the Guardians since May 10th is the Rockies.
Cleveland has the fourth-fewest home runs in that span, while just four hitters have a wRC+ above 100. Three of the four are who you'd expect. Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with a 203 wRC+, while Carlos Santana, Steven Kwan, and Bo Naylor join Ramirez.
After them? It's a total drop-off. Nobody else has a wRC+ above 75. Scoring is a real chore if they don't get production from one of the four producing hitters.
The Guardians are one of the more fly-ball heavy teams in baseball, posting a 42% fly-ball rate. So, they should be able to avoid May's ground ball tendencies.
Dodgers vs Guardians Moneyline Prediction
Neither team is playing its best baseball at the moment.
The Dodgers and Guardians each have won four of their six games, but L.A. had the upper hand in Game 1.
I think we'll see more of the same on Tuesday.
With the moneyline price sitting at just -140, it creates significant value in the Dodgers, who remain the most talented offensive team in baseball.
If Dustin May can hold a poor offensive team to three or fewer runs, the Dodgers are in brilliant shape.
The Dodgers are the better team here — no reason to overthink it. The value lies in betting on the best team in MLB, performing like the best team in the league.
Pick: Dodgers ML (-140 | Play to -160)
Moneyline
As I mentioned above, my bet for this game is the Dodgers moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I'm passing on the game spread.
Over/Under
I'm passing on the game total.
