The Los Angeles Angels host the New York Mets on May 2, 2026. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on FDSW.
The Mets are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Angels are +109 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Angels prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Angels Predictions & Pick
- Mets vs Angels Pick: Under 8 (-100, FanDuel | Play to -125)
My Mets vs Angels best bet is under 8 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Angels Odds, Spread, Line
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -161 | 8 -103o / -110u | -130 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +135 | 8 -103o / -110u | +109 |
- Mets vs Angels moneyline: Mets -130, Angels +109
- Mets vs Angels over/under: 8 (-103o / -110u)
- Mets vs Angels spread: Mets -1.5 (+135), Angels +1.5 (-161)
Mets vs Angels Kalshi Odds
Mets vs Angels Pitchers
| Nolan McLean | Stat | Reid Detmers |
|---|---|---|
| 11-21 | W-L | 12-21 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 2.55 / 2.28 | ERA / xERA | 4.28 / 2.93 |
| 2.26 / 2.61 | FIP / xFIP | 3.22 / 3.81 |
| 25.9 | K-BB% | 19.1 |
| 44.3 | GB% | 38 |
| .234 | BABIP | .278 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 105 |
| 101 | Location+ | 109 |
Mets vs Angels MLB Betting Preview
It’s hard to imagine someone reading a baseball betting article doesn’t know who Nolan McLean is by now.
We can quote many magnificent numbers, but suffice to say his 2.55 ERA is within one-third of a run of all non-pitch modeling estimators.
PitchingBot (3.54 ERA) doesn’t love him as much as Pitching+ (114), but that’s a little bit of a command issue. The pure stuff gets a 64 PitchingBot grade. The way his stuff spins and moves, how could he always know where it’s going.
Still, McLean hasn’t walked more than two in any start. In fact, he’s walked exactly two in all but one.
The Angels aren’t getting as much publicity for their losing streak because they weren’t supposed to be good this year, but they own just a 75 wRC+ at home with a team 28.2 K%.
Nolan Schanuel and Adam Frazier are the only two projected Angels below a 23.9 K% vs RHP since last season.
This is a fantastic spot for McLean and despite all their press, the Mets’ bullpen hasn’t been nearly as bad as advertised (4.06 ERA). Their 3.71 FIP/3.65 xFIP/3.44 SIERA combo works out to the fifth best pen estimators in baseball this year.
The problem is that their .309 BABIP is also sixth worst.
The Angels have been waiting for Reid Detmers to fully develop for years. It’s never been a question of missing bats (25.6 K% career, 25.5% this year), but more of throwing strikes (9.1 BB% career) and occasionally missing barrels (10.7% in 2024).
Well, 2026 may finally be his year. Detmers has dropped his walk rate to a career best 6.4% with just 6.5% Barrels/BBE and a hard hit rate below 40%.
Not counting last season’s 61 appearances out of the bullpen, Detmers is sporting the best pitch modeling of his career as a starting pitcher (3.68 Bot ERA, 112 Pitching+), numbers that nearly mirror his opponent.
Batters are simply chasing his pitches outside the zone at a career high 33.7%.
Speaking of chasing, that’s something the Mets have done more often (34.3%) than all but four other teams (surprisingly, Atlanta is one of them).
Maybe that’s why they’re running a 78 wRC+ on the road and 79 vs LHP this year, while the projected lineup is at 86 against southpaws since last season and 63 over the last 30 days.
They’re adding names like Slater and Ibanez after cycling through Pham and Wagaman with Robert Jr, Polanco and Lindor on the IL.
Mets vs Angels Pick, Betting Analysis
I’m not completely put off by an awful Los Angeles defense and bullpen, but it does keep me at half a unit on this one.
In a park with a 102 Run Factor (Statcast 3 year), slightly pitcher-friendly weather with temps expected to drop into the 60s during the game, along with a pitcher-friendly umpire in John Tumpane, should give us a more neutral to slightly negative environment on Saturday night.
Pick: Under 8 (-100, FanDuel | Play to -125)
