It's the final Saturday in Major League Baseball before the All-Star break, and we have four MLB best bets for the 15-game slate on July 12.
We have MLB picks, props and predictions for the following games: Cubs vs Yankees, Dodgers vs Giants, Rangers vs Astros and Diamondbacks and Angels.
Continue below for our MLB best bets — and a parlay of all our picks — for Saturday.
MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props — 7/12
Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
---|---|---|
1:05 p.m. | ||
4:05 p.m. | ||
7:35 p.m. | ||
9:38 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under Prediction
By Bet Labs
This system targets unders in MLB interleague games where both teams are winning clubs, and the market sets a modest total (7–10).
The setup leverages: Solid teams (49–100% win rate) facing unfamiliar lineups and pitchers Later-season matchups (game 22+), when teams settle into pitching rhythms Home teams favored (moneyline -260 to -110), suggesting stronger bullpens
Undervalued run suppression due to lack of offensive familiarity — the result: profitable unders in tighter, more disciplined matchups between quality teams with limited recent exposure to each other.
This system obviously applies to the second game of this Cubs–Yankees series, with both teams among the best in MLB. The startnig pitching matchup is also a strong one with two All-Stars on the mound: Max Fried and Matthew Boyd.
Pick: Under 8
Dodgers vs Giants Over/Under Pick
By Bet Labs
We have another system under play.
This one targets unders in Game 2 or later in a series where both teams have winning records (the case here with the Dodgers and Giants well over .500), suggesting quality pitching (again the case with Shohei Ohtani and Landen Roupp on the hill) and competitive matchups.
However, public betting leans toward the over — likely expecting fireworks between top teams — which creates contrarian value on the under.
By capitalizing on low public support for the under (≤35%), the strategy fades public perception in favor of market inefficiencies, especially when bettors overestimate offensive output late in a series.
Pick: Under 8
Rangers vs Astros Prop Pick: Jacob deGrom Hits
By Derek Carty
There may be some value on Rangers starter Jacob deGrom's hits allowed prop.
THE BAT X is projecting him to record 4.42 hits allowed, and oddsmakers are implying 5.14.
The model believes there is a 60% chance he records fewer than 5 hits allowed. If you can get the under at +120 or better there is great value here.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Jacob deGrom Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+120)
Diamondbacks vs Angels Moneyline Bet
By Bet Labs
Road underdogs playing interleague games have historically been undervalued by oddsmakers.
Since 2016, despite winning only 43.3% of these games, these teams have generated a consistent positive ROI of 4.6%. This trend has proven reliable across five consecutive seasons, indicating market inefficiencies in how these specific matchups are priced —likely due to lack of familiarity between leagues and public overconfidence in home and favorite teams.