MLB Best Bets, Picks, Props, Predictions for Saturday, July 12

MLB Best Bets, Picks, Props, Predictions for Saturday, July 12 article feature image
Credit:

Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images. Pictured: Jacob deGrom.

It's the final Saturday in Major League Baseball before the All-Star break, and we have four MLB best bets for the 15-game slate on July 12.

We have MLB picks, props and predictions for the following games: Cubs vs Yankees, Dodgers vs Giants, Rangers vs Astros and Diamondbacks and Angels.

Continue below for our MLB best bets — and a parlay of all our picks — for Saturday.

Quickslip

MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props — 7/12

GameTime (ET)Pick
Chicago Cubs LogoNew York Yankees Logo
1:05 p.m.
Los Angeles Dodgers LogoSan Francisco Giants Logo
4:05 p.m.
Texas Rangers LogoHouston Astros Logo
7:35 p.m.
Arizona Diamondbacks LogoLos Angeles Angels Logo
9:38 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under Prediction

Chicago Cubs Logo
Saturday, July 12
1:05 p.m. ET
MLB Network
New York Yankees Logo
Under 8
FanDuel Logo

By Bet Labs

This system targets unders in MLB interleague games where both teams are winning clubs, and the market sets a modest total (7–10).

The setup leverages: Solid teams (49–100% win rate) facing unfamiliar lineups and pitchers Later-season matchups (game 22+), when teams settle into pitching rhythms Home teams favored (moneyline -260 to -110), suggesting stronger bullpens

Undervalued run suppression due to lack of offensive familiarity — the result: profitable unders in tighter, more disciplined matchups between quality teams with limited recent exposure to each other.

This system obviously applies to the second game of this CubsYankees series, with both teams among the best in MLB. The startnig pitching matchup is also a strong one with two All-Stars on the mound: Max Fried and Matthew Boyd.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Interleague Under Edge
the home money is between -260 and -110
the closing total is between 7 and 10
the home team's game number is between 22 and 161
the game is a Non-Conference game
the home team's win percentage is between 49% and 100%
the visitor team's win percentage is between 49% and 100%
betting on the Under
$9,671
WON
667-527-65
RECORD
56%
WIN%

Pick: Under 8



Dodgers vs Giants Over/Under Pick

Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
Saturday, July 12
4:05 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
San Francisco Giants Logo
Under 8
DraftKings  Logo

By Bet Labs

We have another system under play.

This one targets unders in Game 2 or later in a series where both teams have winning records (the case here with the Dodgers and Giants well over .500), suggesting quality pitching (again the case with Shohei Ohtani and Landen Roupp on the hill) and competitive matchups.

However, public betting leans toward the over — likely expecting fireworks between top teams — which creates contrarian value on the under.

By capitalizing on low public support for the under (≤35%), the strategy fades public perception in favor of market inefficiencies, especially when bettors overestimate offensive output late in a series.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams – Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams, Later in Series
the game is played during the Regular or Postseason season
betting on the Under
the home team's win percentage is between 51% and 100%
the visitor team's win percentage is between 51% and 100%
the over/under % is between 0% and 35%
the series game # is between 2 and 100
$14,138
WON
1324-1119-104
RECORD
54%
WIN%

Pick: Under 8

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Rangers vs Astros Prop Pick: Jacob deGrom Hits

Texas Rangers Logo
Saturday, July 12
7:15 p.m. ET
FOX
Houston Astros Logo
Jacob deGrom Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+120)
bet365 Logo

By Derek Carty

There may be some value on Rangers starter Jacob deGrom's hits allowed prop.

THE BAT X is projecting him to record 4.42 hits allowed, and oddsmakers are implying 5.14.

The model believes there is a 60% chance he records fewer than 5 hits allowed. If you can get the under at +120 or better there is great value here.

Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!

Pick: Jacob deGrom Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+120)



Diamondbacks vs Angels Moneyline Bet

Arizona Diamondbacks Logo
Saturday, July 12
9:38 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Los Angeles Angels Logo
Diamondbacks Moneyline (+100)
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

By Bet Labs

Road underdogs playing interleague games have historically been undervalued by oddsmakers.

Since 2016, despite winning only 43.3% of these games, these teams have generated a consistent positive ROI of 4.6%. This trend has proven reliable across five consecutive seasons, indicating market inefficiencies in how these specific matchups are priced —likely due to lack of familiarity between leagues and public overconfidence in home and favorite teams.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams – Road Dogs Interleague (YEAR)
the game is played during the Regular season
the game is a Non-Conference game
the team is the Visitor team
the team is the Dog
the game was played during the 2025 or 2024 or 2023 or 2022 or 2021 or 2020 or 2019 or 2018 or 2017 or 2016 season
$5,432
WON
1080-1432-0
RECORD
43%
WIN%

Pick: Diamondbacks Moneyline (+100)



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