There are 15 games on the Major League Baseball slate on Friday, May 2. Naturally, I've scoured Friday's MLB home run props market for value home run picks.
I'm on three players to go yard, including Baltimore's Cedric Mullins, Kansas City's Vinnie Pasquantino, and Detroit's Kerry Carpenter.
Continue below for my four MLB home run prop bets and parlay picks for Friday, May 2.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — 5/2
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:05 p.m. | |
| 7:05 p.m. | |
| 9:38 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for May 2
Cedric Mullins Home Run (+450)
vs. Royals (SP: RHP Michael Wacha)
Cedric Mullins is off to a fantastic start this year, with six homers in 28 games.
He’s in a great spot to smash his seventh on Friday.
Michael Wacha has been good at limiting bombs to left-handed hitters over the past few seasons, but he’s due for some massive negative regression, with a 45% fly-ball rate allowed in each of the past two years.
The weather in Baltimore should be great for hitting, with temperatures in the mid-80s and winds blowing out at five MPH during game time.
I make the fair odds for this home run prop closer to +400.
Vinnie Pasquantino Home Run (+375)
vs. Orioles (SP: RHP Dean Kremer)
Vinnie Pasquantino got stronger in the offseason, and his fly-ball rate has skyrocketed to 57% so far in 2025.
He has a great matchup on Friday against Dean Kremer in an excellent ballpark.
Kremer has allowed 1.59 home runs per nine innings to left-handed hitters in his career, behind high fly-ball and hard-contact rates allowed.
This ballpark has been MLB’s second-best for left-handed home runs over the past three seasons. The ball should be flying with temperatures in the 80s and the wind blowing out slightly.
I make the fair odds on this home run prop closer to +350.
Kerry Carpenter Home Run (+500)
vs. Angels (SP: RHP Jose Soriano)
I don’t love the matchup for Kerry Carpenter, but the odds are still far too long.
Jose Soriano is a big ground-ball pitcher, but Carpenter can offset that, as he boasts a massive 56% fly-ball rate this year.
Carpenter has been hammering the ball since the beginning of last year, with 25 homers in his past 116 games.
The ballpark has seen a big upgrade this year, as it sits as MLB’s seventh-best park for left-handed power.
I make the true odds on this home run prop closer to +400.
