NRFI Picks Today | MLB Custom Bet for Aaron Nola, Alex Faedo (Monday, August 21)

NRFI Picks Today | MLB Custom Bet for Aaron Nola, Alex Faedo (Monday, August 21) article feature image
Credit:

Via Rich Graessle/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Nola #27 of the Philadelphia Phillies pitches during the game against the Kansas City Royals on August 4, 2023 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bets of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app

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Aaron Nola & Alex Faedo

Giants vs. Phillies, 6:40 p.m. ET | Cubs vs. Tigers, 6:40 p.m. ET

Our initial custom NRFI selection for today revolves around Alex Faedo of the Detroit Tigers. This season, Faedo boasts an 8–1 NRFI record, perfectly complemented by an impeccable 6–0 home NRFI split. This brings Faedo's overall NRFI record to 11–1 when pitching at home since 2022.

When facing batters for the first time through the order this year, Faedo has demonstrated impressive efficiency, permitting only a .171 average in 76 at-bats. His unfamiliarity to the Chicago Cubs hitters provides an advantageous edge. Additionally, the Chicago Cubs hold one of the highest NRFI rates in baseball when playing on the road, standing at an astonishing 81%.

MLB NRFI Picks Today, Model Predictions for Monday, August 21 Image

Our second custom NRFI selection for today centers around Philadelphia Phillies veteran Aaron Nola. This season, Nola maintains a solid 18–7 NRFI record, paired with an almost perfect 9–1 home NRFI split. This culminates in an impressive 23–3 NRFI record when pitching at home since 2022.

When facing batters for the first time through the order this season, Nola has conceded only a .204 average over 216 at-bats. His track record against the San Francisco Giants' bats includes successes against Michael Conforto (7–45), Joc Pederson (4–18), J.D. Davis (2–12) and Wilmer Flores (3–10).

This custom NRFI selection is -149 on DraftKings and -133 on Barstool Sportsbook.

As always, six outs to glory…

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