Happy Wednesday!
I've got some bangers.
Read on for my 4 favorite home run picks for today.
MLB Player Props, Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 10:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Nationals vs Reds Prediction
Bleday has been in good form this season with 4 bombs in 14 games, and the spot here is a great one.
Jake Irvin hasn't been bad this season, but last season, he was one of the top matchups in the league for lefty power, allowing a massive 2.32 HR/9.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and I have the true odds around +350 today, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: JJ Bleday Home Run
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Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction
This is strictly a price play here.
The matchup is a tough one vs. Dylan Cease, who allows below-average home runs for righty bats.
The ballpark is an upgrade, and Caminero is one of the best HR hitters in the league.
I have the true odds on Caminero under +400 today, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run
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Marlins vs Twins Prediction
Buxton has been on an absolute tear recently, and the odds are a little high here.
Max Meyer has been good this season, but he grades out as a plus matchup for righty power.
I have the true odds on Buxton around +280, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Byron Buxton Home Run
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Giants vs Dodgers Prediction
Pages has been great this year and seems to have taken a step up with power.
Robbie Ray isn't the same pitcher he used to be and grades out as a well-above-average matchup for righty power.
I have the true odds on Pages around +425 today, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Andy Pages Home Run
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