Scanning our MLB strikeout props for July 14, the biggest over/under edge of any pitcher is in Guardians vs. Rays.
Meticulously crafted to capitalize on various MLB player props, these projections unveil an opportunity with significant value. The consensus odds in the betting market are longer than those of our proprietary models, offering sharp bettors a valuable exploit.
Today's starting pitchers for Guardians vs. Rays are Ben Lively for Cleveland and Ryan Pepiot for Tampa Bay. Sunday marks the final game of the series, with first pitch set for 1:40 p.m. ET.
After lineups were released, here's the 15% edge that popped for Sunday's strikeout props.
MLB Strikeout Props: PRO Projections' Top Bet
The top edge of any game Sunday has landed on Pepiot under 5.5 strikeouts against an improved Guardians lineup from last season.
Specifically, the projection for Pepiot stands at 4.26 strikeouts, compared to the line set at 5.5 strikeouts at DraftKings. This discrepancy creates a notable 15.1% edge for the under bet.
What's particularly intriguing is the analytical consistency backing this under 5.5 strikeouts pick. PRO Projections assigned an A- grade to this bet, reflecting its high-caliber potential. Beyond mere numbers, these projections draw from a rich database of player performance metrics, historical data, and matchup-specific variables.
Furthermore, Pepiot faces a Guardians lineup posting the fifth-lowest strikeout rate this season.
PRO MLB Props Pick: Ryan Pepiot Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145)
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that's where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
