The Los Angeles Dodgers host the New York Mets on April 13, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Dodgers are favored by -168 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +139 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at – runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction
- Mets vs Dodgers Pick: Dodgers F5 ML (-140)| Play to -147
My Mets vs Dodgers best bet is on the Dodgers' first five moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Dodgers Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -143 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +139 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +119 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -168 |
- Mets vs Dodgers spread: + 1.5 (-143), – 1.5 (+119)
- Mets vs Dodgers over/under: 8.5 (-115 / -105)
- Mets vs Dodgers moneyline: Mets +139, Dodgers -168
Mets vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
| David Peterson (LHP) | Stat | Justin Wrobelski (LHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 6.14/4.84 | ERA /xERA | 4.00/4.15 |
| 2.46/3.44 | FIP / xFIP | 3.92/5.81 |
| 1.84 | WHIP | 1.22 |
| 11.1 | K-BB% | -2.6 |
| 22 | GB% | 35.7 |
| 83 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 102 | Location+ | 101 |
Mets vs Dodgers Preview
New York Mets Betting Preview: Another Pedestrian Outing for Peterson?
It's a new season, but it's the same David Peterson. The tall lefty has been an enticing project for years thanks to his extension and sporadic runs of competency, but I continue to see very little that suggests he's a good pitcher.
Peterson is a perplexing case — a pitcher who has struggled for years with walks as a primarily pitch-to-contact lefty. He continues to run sky-high ground-ball rates, which keep the ball from leaving the yard, but it comes at the expense of plenty of baserunners.
Hitters were a whopping .255 off him last season, which is almost exactly his career average, and in the past two seasons, his Expected Batting Average is north of .270.
Simply put, Peterson is going to fill up the bases, and unlike that 2024 season, where he pitched to a 2.90 ERA, he's not leaving many guys on base. His strand rate was 78.4% that year — which is around six points higher than the league average, but it fell to 69.2% last season and is all the way down to 59.3% in 2026.
That leaves us in an interesting spot. Peterson will surely see some positive regression to the league norm, but we've witnessed in every one of his big-league seasons except 2024 what happens when that strand rate is merely average or below average.
I don't think improvements in BABIP and strand rate will fix this pitcher, but it would indicate that at least a few good starts are coming.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Wrobelski to Right the Ship
I want to focus on both pitchers here because both are worth poking holes into. L.A.'s starter will be Justin Wrobleski, who's been operating as a long man out of the bullpen the past two seasons.
As a starter, he's posted a 6.99 ERA in nine career appearances, spanning 46 1/3 innings, and in 65 2/3 frames out of the 'pen, he's got a 3.15 ERA. Much of that is due to his tremendous numbers in low leverage — where long men earn their pay — where he's allowed just a .605 OPS for his career.
Naturally, then, he went out and won his first start of the season, which came against the Toronto Blue Jays in a World Series rematch. He allowed just a run on two hits over five innings, but he hurt himself with four walks and just two strikeouts.
The lefty honed in his control issues last season with a 6.1% walk rate, but even dating back to the upper minors, he has struggled with free passes. The good news was that he wound up producing a 27.1% punchout rate, but that number generally skews higher for relievers, so once again, you've got to take these numbers with a grain of salt.
It's similarly hard to get a feel for how he's going to pitch. He was a ground-baller last season, coming in well north of the league average, but prior to that, he was a firm fly-baller through the minors and into his rookie season.
That ground ball rate was way down in spring training, and is way down this season at just 35.7%, so it would seem that the Dodgers are trying to get more flyouts out of his arm to take away some hits on the ground at the expense of some more homers.
Of course, he's going to need to find that near-30% strikeout rate again if he wants to be a good fly-ball pitcher, and even last season, he failed to get many chases and whiffs. So far in 2026, we've seen a troubling drop-off from those average marks.
Mets vs Dodgers Picks
This Mets offense is searching for answers right now, and I'm not sure if it's good or bad that they've at least maintained average plate discipline. New York is getting the ball into play with a 20.8% strikeout rate, and it's also walking at a solid 9% clip.
The issue is that the Mets have an incredibly weak .117 Isolated Power, and despite a .282 BABIP, which sits 16th of 30 teams, they're hitting just .236. Perhaps more hits could come — they're ninth in baseball with a .246 Expected Batting Average and 11th in xSLG — but they're just 22nd in barrel rate.
Without the threat of power, even a troubled lefty like Wrobleski should be able to generate some outs should he continue pitching to contact in the air.
New York's not hitting for power right now, aside from Luis Robert and Francisco Alvarez, and with Wrobleski keeping opponents to a fair .253 xBA this season, a parade of hits is unlikely to bear fruit for the visitors. Taking into account some baserunning issues, this might be the most confident I'll be in Wrobleski all year.
The Dodgers, meanwhile, feast off ground-ballers, and in six games versus Peterson have tagged him for a 4.45 ERA and four homers. The Mets may be looking decent in the infield this season, but I just don't see enough to tilt this matchup the other way.
Pick: Dodgers First Five Innings -140 | Play to -147
