The Philadelphia Phillies host the New York Yankees on July 25, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -118 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Phillies are +100 on the moneyline and +100 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Phillies Prediction
- Yankees vs Phillies Pick: Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs
My Yankees vs Phillies best bet is for Ben Rice to hit a home run. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Phillies Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +136 | 8.5 -122o / -100u | -118 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -164 | 8.5 -122o / -100u | +100 |
- Yankees vs Phillies moneyline: Yankees -118, Phillies +100
- Yankees vs Phillies over/under: 8.5 (-122o / -100u)
- Yankees vs Phillies spread: Yankees -1.5 (+136), Phillies +1.5 (-164)
Yankees vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
| Ryan Weathers (LHP, NYY) | Stat | TBD |
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | W-L | — |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | — |
| 4.40 / 4.55 | ERA / xERA | — |
| 3.93 / 3.30 | FIP / xFIP | — |
| 19.9% | K-BB% | — |
| 44.6% | GB% | — |
| .312 | BABIP | — |
| 102 | Stuff+ | — |
| 109 | Location+ | — |
Yankees vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Citizens Bank Park has long held a reputation as one of baseball's premier launching pads, particularly for pull-heavy left-handed hitters. The venue's shallow right-field fence and tight power alley create an exceptionally friendly environment for fly balls to carry over the wall.
That structural venue advantage directly aligns with Yankees' slugger Ben Rice's swing profile. Rice, who sits second in the American League in home runs, pulls the vast majority of his power hits. An astounding 87% of his home runs this season have landed over the right-field fence.
Playing in a stadium tailored specifically to his spray chart gives him a massive boost in converting hard contact into round-trippers.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies have utilized a four-man rotation for much of the season, leaving their fifth starter slot wide open. Philadelphia gave righty Alan Rangel an extended look in that role over the past month, but after he struggled to an 0-3 record and a bloated 5.40 ERA, manager Don Mattingly may look toward a bullpen game or alternative spot-starter.
Rangel's recent struggles underscore how vulnerable the back end of Philadelphia's pitching staff has been when asked to cover innings.
Whether Mattingly taps an unproven spot-starter or relies on a parade of relievers, Rice will likely see multiple low-leverage pitches throughout the evening. Facing unfamiliar arms or a heavily taxed bullpen in a hitter-friendly environment maximizes the chances of catching a mistake pitch over the plate
Yankees vs Phillies Pick, Betting Analysis
Our PRO Projections model identifies Rice's home run prop as one of the standout value picks on the entire MLB slate with a 10.6% edge. Given his elite HR output, high pull rate to right field, and favorable ballpark dimensions, the model projects a much higher probability of Rice clearing the fences than the implied sports betting odds suggest.
When elite pull power collides with a shallow right field and an unsettled pitching staff, backing the hot hand to launch one out offers strong long-term value.
Rice possesses the exact batted-ball profile needed to take full advantage of Citizens Bank Park. Against a pitching staff forced to manage around an empty rotation slot, expect the Yankees slugger to get a mistake to hit and pull it over the short fence in right field.
Pick: Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs (+340, FanDuel)
