The Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Yankees on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video.
The Yankees enter as -125 favorites on the moneyline with the Blue Jays sitting at +105 to pull off the upset. The over/under, meanwhile, comes in at 9 total runs.
Find my Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick: Under 9
My Blue Jays vs. Yankees best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +130 | 9 +100o / -120u | -125 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -155 | 9 +100o / -120u | +105 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Projected Pitchers
Yankees vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
Wednesday's Yankees vs. Blue Jays matchup fits a historically profitable betting system in our Bet Labs database.
Called "Silent Sharp Unders," this system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.
These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions and closing totals in a common scoring range.
Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the under, likely due to matchup specifics, pitching or pace factors.
By following this soft signal — when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals — this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.
This system boasts an all-time record of 1231-973-87, which is good for a winning percentage of 55.9% and an ROI of 9.2%. In 2025, that record moves to 98-72-3 — a winning percentage of 58% with an ROI of 9%.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis
This game flew over the total yesterday, as the Blue Jays beat the Yankees by a score of 12-5. However, the Yankees have struggled at the plate at times in recent weeks.
New York starter Will Warren has been solid thus far. He comes into the game with an xERA of 3.46 compared to his ERA of 4.37, showing he's due for a bit of positive regression.
With Warren's looming regression and a historically profitable system on our side, we'll take the under on Wednesday.
Pick: Under 9
Moneyline
We don't have a bet on the moneyline in this matchup.
Run Line (Spread)
Like the moneyline, we're staying away from backing either side on the run line.
Over/Under
Our bet for this game is for both teams to go under the total. The total has subtly moved and Warren is due for some positive regression, so we'll take the under 9.
