The Milwaukee Brewers host the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 13, 2025. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
The Brewers will hunt down a sweep and enhance their MLB-leading record in a Wednesday afternoon game versus the Pirates. Milwaukee enters as -185 favorites.
Find my MLB betting preview and Pirates vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Pirates vs Brewers Prediction
- Pirates vs Brewers picks: Brewers -1.5 (play to -110)
My Pirates vs Brewers best bet is Brewers -1.5 (play to -110). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Brewers Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -145 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +155 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -190 |
Pirates vs Brewers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Mitch Keller (PIT) | Stat | RHP Brandon Woodruff (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-10 | W-L | 4-0 |
| 2.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 3.86/4.02 | ERA /xERA | 2.29/2.16 |
| 3.69/4.18 | FIP / xFIP | 3.73/2.91 |
| 1.23 | WHIP | 0.65 |
| 2.9 | K-BB% | 7.5 |
| 43.6 | GB% | 26 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 100 | Location+ | 106 |
Sean Paul’s Pirates vs Brewers Preview
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
How could you bet against the hottest team in baseball? They have the best record in the league by five games and pounced on the Pirates in Monday’s win, 7-1 and made easy work of the best pitchers in baseball just 24 hours later.
The Brewers have the second-best offense in baseball since the All-Star break. They have a strong 134 wRC+, and they have increased their power, ranking 14th in homers and 10th in ISO.
They have a very old-school offensive approach. By putting the ball in play and hitting nearly .300 over the last month, while striking out just 18% of the time, it puts real pressure on defenses to make plays. If that can’t happen, the speedy Brewers will run wild and put up crooked numbers.
Stout pitching is part of what makes this Milwaukee team special, and Brandon Woodruff's return to his All-Star level form after a lengthy layoff was a huge boost. He boasts a 2.29 ERA, a 2.16 xERA, and a shaky 3.73 FIP through 35 1/3 innings.
He's not pitched enough to qualify for anything, but it's easy to love his underlying numbers. Woodruff is striking out 11.46 batters per nine innings, he's walking just 1.53 batters per nine innings, and has a .174 xBA. That's the perfect storm for Woodruff being the Robin to Freddy Peralta's Batman.
Plus, the Brewers' pen is elite. Good luck scoring against Abner Uribe and Trevor Megill in the 8th and 9th innings. That pair is as elite as it gets, so if Milwaukee enters 8th with a multi-run lead, our bet is in good shape.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The strength of this Pirates squad is their pitching rotation. Of course, it starts with Skenes, whom the Brewers dominated on Tuesday. But Mitch Keller is very solid and should provide the Pirates with five or six innings with two or three runs.
Keller enters this outing with a 3.86 ERA with a 4.02 xERA and 3.69 FIP. I'd be pretty worried about how Keller fares in this matchup, as he wants opponents to put the ball in play. Keller strikes out just 7.00 per nine. He also allows a 0.85 HR/9, one of the best figures in the sport. He'll be looking to put the ball on the ground.
The problem is that's what the Brewers thrive on. Baseball is a weird game, so Keller dominating the Brewers after they made Skenes look human is something that would happen. I just can't buy it happening, though.
Offensively, the Pirates' offense is a total disaster. Pittsburgh ranks 23rd in MLB with 92 wRC+ since the All-Star break, which is better than their 29th ranking for the year. A lack of power has plagued the Pirates' offense all year. Even with a better month in July, that hasn't changed. They rank 28th in ISO and 27th in home runs in their last 24 games.
Pirates vs Brewers Prediction, Betting Analysis
You have to take the Brewers run line here. An argument could be made for selling high on Milwaukee, but I don't think the market has reached its peak. For the best team in the sport, it should be bigger favorites than -185 and plus money on the run line against one of the worst teams in MLB.
Go with the Brewers.
Pick: Brewers -1.5 (play to -110)
Moneyline
No play
Run Line (Spread)
I like Milwaukee here
Over/Under
No play
