The Colorado Rockies host the Texas Rangers on May 18, 2026. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on COLR.
The Rangers are favored by -152 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +128 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rangers vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rangers vs Rockies Prediction
- Rangers vs Rockies Pick: Rockies ML (+120 or Better) | Under 9.5 (-110 or Better)
My Rangers vs Rockies best bets are the Rockies moneyline and the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rangers vs Rockies Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | -150 |
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | +125 |
- Rangers vs Rockies moneyline: Rangers -152, Rockies +128
- Rangers vs Rockies over/under: 9.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Rangers vs Rockies spread: Rangers -1.5 (+105), Rockies +1.5 (-125)
Rangers vs Rockies Probable Pitchers
| MacKenzie Gore (LHP) | Stat | Jose Quintana (LHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 4.50/4.04 | ERA / xERA | 3.97/4.69 |
| 3.95/4.06 | FIP / xFIP | 5.57/5.89 |
| 15.2 | K-BB% | 0.0 |
| 33.9 | GB% | 32.7 |
| .262 | BABIP | .250 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 81 |
| 102 | Location+ | 103 |
Rangers vs Rockies MLB Betting Preview
Editor’s Note: This written pick is a transcription from today's episode of the Payoff Pitch Podcast.
Temperatures are going to be brutal today at Coors Field — only 36 degrees. The wind won’t have much impact, but the cold conditions should neutralize offense quite a bit. I bet the Under 10 last night, and now it’s down to 9.5. I make the total 9.0, so I’m betting the Under 9.5 at -110 or better.
I also make the Rockies about +106, so I’ll take them at +120 or better.
Jose Quintana has been abysmal this season. He’s sitting at a 0% K-BB rate. Even in his better starts, it’s been things like two walks and two strikeouts, or three walks and two strikeouts. He’s basically just throwing sweepers at the bottom of the zone and hoping hitters guess wrong.
If they swing, it’s usually weak contact. If they don’t, they walk — and he’s walking a ton of guys. It’s like watching late-career Jamie Moyer with even less stuff. You can see every pitch coming, and the at-bat basically comes down to whether the hitter swings or not.
His metrics are terrible: 6.00 SIERA, 5.89 expected FIP. In my model, I have him at a 6.00 FIP, and I still show value on the Rockies.
I have Quintana ranked as my SP149 — I’m not expecting much from him. That said, we’ve seen plenty of slider-heavy pitchers (like Mackenzie Gore) come to Coors Field and lose the bite on their breaking stuff. Even though Gore has been excellent, his underlying indicators have come back toward league average.
The Rangers are clearly the better offensive team (I have them at a 103 wRC+ vs lefties vs. 86 for the Rockies), and the bullpens are both bad (Texas 20th, Colorado 24th in my rankings). But if Quintana can get through five innings with the game close, these bullpens are close enough that the Rockies can absolutely steal one at home.
Pick: Rockies ML (+120 or Better) | Under 9.5 (-110 or Better)
