Rockies vs Giants Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
+158 | 8 -105o / -115u | +1.5 -140 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-190 | 8 -105o / -115u | -1.5 +118 |
The San Francisco Giants go for the four-game sweep on Sunday afternoon against the Colorado Rockies. The Rockies’ offense has been a no-show through the first three games of the series, so their bats need to wake up quickly if they want a chance of avoiding the sweep at Oracle Park.
It’ll be Southpaw Austin Gomber on the mound for Colorado and Jordan Hicks for San Francisco. Oddsmakers see the Giants as heavy -190 favorites on the moneyline, with the total set at 8 (-105o / -115u).
Let's break down the latest MLB odds, and get to my pick and prediction for Rockies vs Giants on Sunday, July 28.
Colorado Rockies
It’s been another lost season for the Rockies, but luckily there are a few aspects for their ball club that can make their fans look forward to the future. But first, they are looking to avoid the sweep in what has been a tough series for the offense.
The Rockies lost both games of the doubleheader on Saturday, including getting blanked 5-0 in game two. Blake Snell racked up 15 punchouts through six innings in Game 1, in which the Rockies scored only one run.
They’ve scored one run in their last 18 innings, and five runs total throughout the series. It’ll be up to the bats against Jordan Hicks, who is a regression candidate.
We’ll talk about Hicks in the Giants breakdown, but Austin Gomber has to step up since the offense can not do themselves any favors.
Gomber is mediocre at best, but he does have a favorable ballpark environment working in his favor. He’s also done extremely well against these Giants hitters, as they only have a .182 batting average against him over 33 at-bats.
Gomber would probably benefit from pitching in a different home ballpark, but the metrics aren’t convincing enough to say otherwise. He doesn’t generate many swings and misses but does keep the ball on the ground a decent amount.
The Rockies are a better offensive team against right-handed pitching, and it seems like the world is going to be betting against them here. I am not a Hicks fan whatsoever, so if Gomber can hold steady in the early innings the Rockies might have a shot at avoiding the sweep.
San Francisco Giants
Jordan Hicks’ numbers are not spectacular by any stretch, but the right-hander is a subject of pitching in a favorable ballpark. San Francisco is one of, if not the best, pitcher’s park in all of the MLB, which makes me believe Hicks’ numbers would be much worse if that was not the case.
Hicks has a 4.01 ERA and 1.39 WHIP but has a 4.82 xERA. He allows too many base runners and does not generate enough chases or whiffs to sustain any sort of success.
The 90 Ks in 98 IP is not horrible, but his metrics suggest those numbers are bound to decrease. He’s also allowing a hard-hit rate of 43.4, which is within the 15th percentile of all pitchers.
The Rockies are no murderers row, but after their struggles thus far in the series, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them have success against Hicks. They are batting .240 lifetime against him, but do fare much better against right-handed pitching.
Offensively, the Giants are a far better offensive team against left-handers. But, their struggles against Gomber in the past may cause them to scuffle a bit early on.
The Giants’ pen is stronger and certainly can outlast a terrible Rockies team late in the game. But, I wouldn’t be quick to lay a -200 moneyline given the circumstances.
Rockies vs. Giants
Betting Pick & Prediction
It’s Sunday, so we may as well hold our noses and back the Rockies in the first five innings run line market. We’re getting a decent price at +110 odds over at BetMGM, plus they only have to be tied through the five innings for us to cash at +0.5.
Look, I don't think Gomber is very good, but he’s proven to stifle these Giants bats in the past. It’s not too far-fetched to think he can pitch decently in the early portion of the game.
I also see that nobody is betting on the Rockies as of Sunday Morning, with only 9% of the bets on them. Everyone seems to be running to the counter to lay a -200 juiced line with the Giants, but there is no way I can pay that price with Hicks on the mound.
The Rockies offense is due to bust out after a tough series, and the matchup against Hicks might do the trick. I have no faith in their bullpen at all, especially after trading Nick Mears. So, I’ll take my chances that they can keep the game tied or better through the first half of the game.
Pick: Rockies +0.5 (+110) – First Five Innings Run Line
