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Giants vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick, Odds: Beatdown in Tinseltown

Giants vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick, Odds: Beatdown in Tinseltown article feature image
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Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images. Pictured: Shohei Ohtani

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants on May 13, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.

The Dodgers are favored by -245 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Giants are +200 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Giants vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Giants vs Dodgers Prediction

  • Giants vs Dodgers Pick: Dodgers -1.5

My Giants vs Dodgers best bet is on the Dodgers to cover the run line. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Giants vs Dodgers Odds

Giants Logo
Wednesday, May 13
10:10 p.m. ET
SportsNet LA
Dodgers Logo
Giants Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-110
7.5
-124o / 102u
+200
Dodgers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-110
7.5
-124o / 102u
-245
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Giants vs Dodgers moneyline: Giants +200, Dodgers -245
  • Giants vs Dodgers over/under: 7.5 (-124o / -102u)
  • Giants vs Dodgers spread: Giants +1.5 (-110), Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

Giants vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers

LHP Robbie Ray (SF)StatRHP Shohei Ohtani (LAD)
3-4W-L2-2
0.2fWAR (FanGraphs)1.3
2.76 / 4.15ERA / xERA0.97 / 2.18
4.52 / 4.15FIP / xFIP2.52 / 3.11
16.1%K-BB%22.8%
27.4%GB%52.2%
.224BABIP.213
102Stuff+114
96Location+101

Giants vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview

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San Francisco Giants Betting Preview: Bad Outlook for Ray

Robbie Ray will take the ball once again for the Giants following another Ray-esque showing of volatility last time out against the Pirates. In the end, he allowed just a run on four hits, but it came on a solo homer, and it came with a 7:4 K:BB.

Ray has long struggled with preventing homers as a fly-ball pitcher, and the walks have been an issue throughout his career, with a 10% clip that he's matched this season. His strikeout rate certainly isn't where it used to be, but at 34, he'd certainly sign up for finishing at the 26.1% mark that he's currently sitting at.

The fly balls have come a bit more frequently this season for Ray, whose 70.4% rate of contact through the air ranks 22nd among all qualified pitchers and in the top five of qualified starters.

His Pull Air% isn't great at 20%, but it's certainly not disastrous, so the .454 Expected Slugging — almost 50 points worse than average — certainly has the chance to manifest itself in the form of extra-base hits and not strictly homers.

Ray won't have the benefit of pitching in his spacious home park here, increasing the risk of the longball, and his defense has been mediocre this season with a 15th-ranked zero Outs Above Average. He will be hoping a simultaneous slump from L.A. and a surge from San Francisco's offense can power him and the team to a fourth straight victory.

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Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Possible Opening for Dodger Bats

The Dodgers' offense certainly isn't smoking hot at the moment, sitting 13th with a 93 wRC+ over the last week of play. Shohei Ohtani, Will Smith and Mookie Betts have continued to struggle towards the top of the order, and with some previously reliable bats towards the bottom of the order cooling off, this team is searching for its best again.

Ohtani may have hit what fans are hoping is a slump-busting homer last night, but since he's pitching on Wednesday, he won't be hitting in accordance with the team's new Ohtani rules. The offense could certainly use his expert eye, walking at a pedestrian 9.5% clip over the last week, and the Dodgers' Isolated Power stands at just .174 during this period as well.

In an encouraging twist, at least, the Dodgers are actually hitting fly-ball pitchers like Ray better this year, ranking eighth with a .774 OPS versus a 13th-ranked .670 OPS the other way around. It's a turnaround from a long-standing success rate against ground-ball pitchers, and one worth monitoring as the year goes on.

As for the man on the mound, Ohtani has been virtually untouchable this year. His 2.17 Expected ERA is in the top 5% of all pitchers, backing up his 2.17 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, and under the surface, it appears he's undergoing some changes that could make him even more dangerous.

The righty has shot his ground-ball rate up 12 points to 53.8% this season, and as a result, he's allowed just a 19.8% fly-ball rate — well lower than his 25% career average and the major-league average of 24.1%. His Pull Air% has always been around 18%, which is just about the only place you can call Ohtani below-average, but with the new eye towards grounders, he's come in at a delectable 11% this year.

All that's amounted to a sparkling .265 xSLG, which is far lower than Ohtani's ever posted in the bigs, and with his strikeout rate remaining strong at 29% with a solid 6.2% walk rate, there may not be a way through.


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Giants vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis

It's been fun to watch the Giants hit over the last few days, but one thing we must remember is that they love to hit the ball on the ground. San Francisco ranks fifth in ground-ball rate for the year, and even in the last week, as it's slugged the ball much better, it still ranks 11th.

That will help Ohtani out greatly, and if you don't believe in a classic groundie-versus-groundie matchup, the proof is in the Giants' 29th-ranked .573 OPS versus ground-ballers and second-ranked .839 OPS versus fly-ballers. San Francisco's offense should be sapped here, and with Ray on the mound, there may not be much reprieve.

You just can't trust Ray in this matchup. The Dodgers will walk a lot — and even with a slight dip over the last week, they're still in above-average territory. They've also maintained solid power numbers despite some struggles with strikeouts and in the batting average department, so the chances Ray gets punished for working himself into a jam are high.

Ray's allowed five runs in each of his last two starts against the Giants, and the last time he pitched in L.A., he surrendered three home runs in just 4 2/3 innings. This ain't last night, the Dodgers will hit back hard.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-110)


Giants vs Dodgers Weather


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About the Author

Kenny Ducey, a leading voice in tennis betting and MLB handicapping, has built an online following through his work for Tennis Channel and his background in baseball reporting for Sports Illustrated and Baseball Prospectus. With over a decade of experience, including covering the New York Knicks and Yankees for Fordham's WFUV Radio, Ducey writes betting previews for Action Network and contributes digitally to Tennis Channel, having also worked for NBC Sports and DraftKings.

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