The Boston Red Sox (51-45) host the Tampa Bay Rays (50-45) on Saturday, July 12. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Rays find themselves as +150 moneyline underdogs after dropping a tough 5-4 loss in the opener, despite holding a late lead. The Red Sox, who have now won eight straight, are -178 moneyline favorites with a game total set at 8.
Read our Rays vs Red Sox prediction and pick for Saturday below.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Lines
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -135 | 8 -110o / -110u | +150 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +115 | 8 -110o / -110u | -178 |
Rays vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Shane Baz (TBR) | Stat | LHP Garrett Crochet (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | W-L | 9-4 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.8 |
| 4.34 / 3.76 | ERA / xERA | 2.39 / 2.92 |
| 4.45 / 3.80 | FIP / xFIP | 2.50 / 2.74 |
| 1.26 | WHIP | 1.09 |
| 15.2% | K-BB% | 24.2% |
| 49.3% | GB% | 48.1% |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 114 |
| 98 | Location+ | 97 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction, Pick, Betting Analysis
Tampa Bay will turn to Shane Baz, who owns a 3-0 record with a 2.96 ERA in four career starts against Boston.
On the other side, All-Star Garrett Crochet makes his first start against the Rays, looking to close out a strong first half.
This game sets up nicely for Evan Abrams' Low Support Division Dog model.
