The Toronto Blue Jays host the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday, May 13. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on RAYS and MLB.TV.
The Blue Jays are favored by -151 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rays are +125 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rays vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Picks
- Rays vs Blue Jays Pick: Under 7.5
My Rays vs Blue Jays best bet is on the runs total under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -181 | 7.5 -108o / -112u | +129 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +149 | 7.5 -108o / -112u | -156 |
- Rays vs Blue Jays Moneyline: Rays ML +129, Blue Jays ML -156
- Rays vs Blue Jays Over/Under: 7.5
- Rays vs Blue Jays Run Line: Blue Jays -1.5 (+149), Rays +1.5 (-181)
Rays vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Griffin Jax (TBR) | Stat | RHP Dylan Cease (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | W-L | 3-1 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 5.00/4.86 | ERA / xERA | 2.58/2.93 |
| 5.06/4.30 | FIP / xFIP | 1.82/2.46 |
| 8.9% | K-BB% | 25.1% |
| 56.0% | GB% | 48.1% |
| .265 | BABIP | .356 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 101 | Location+ | 99 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays (28-13) continue to be the class of the American League. They arrive at Wednesday’s finale riding a three-game winning streak and possessing the best road record in baseball (14-9).
Their recipe has been simple: elite run prevention and a contact-heavy offense that wears down opposing rotations.
In Tuesday’s 7-6 win, the Rays' bullpen proved its mettle once again, with Garrett Cleavinger slamming the door in extra innings after Shane McClanahan dominated the early frames.
On the other side, the Toronto Blue Jays (18-24) are mired in a "mid-season grind" that feels more like a freefall. They have lost three straight and sit fourth in the AL East. While their offense showed signs of life Tuesday, erasing a 5-0 deficit, they remain a bottom-10 scoring unit in the majors.
Toronto is currently 8-15 following a loss this season, a trend that suggests a lack of immediate bounce-back potential when things go south.
Rays vs Blue Jays Pick, MLB Best Bet
This game triggered the Bet Labs system "Unders with Soft Starters and Neutral Winds," which thrives on specific environmental and situational data points.
This system targets unders in regular-season MLB games where softer home starting pitchers — low strikeout rates and moderate WHIP — are on the mound in games three or four of a series.
By this point in the series, hitters have seen multiple arms and scouting reports are sharper, yet scoring remains muted when the matchup lacks overpowering velocity and winds remain neutral.
The setup avoids exaggerated run environments by filtering out strong directional wind influence, keeping offensive surges in check. With the home team in the middle of the season grind, winning at a modest clip, the market may overlook how often these quiet conditions lead to slower-paced, low-scoring outcomes.
With "moderate rain and brisk temperatures" forecast for Toronto tonight, the Rogers Centre dome will be closed. A closed roof creates the ultimate neutral environment, keeping the ball in the park and the scoring "muted."
By Games 3 or 4 of a series, hitters have seen the primary leverage arms of the opposing bullpen multiple times. Scouting reports are sharpened, and the "surprise factor" of a pitcher's movement or slot is diminished.
Historically, this familiarity leads to more conservative managing and pitchers being more careful, resulting in slower-paced, low-scoring outcomes.
While Dylan Cease (3-1, 2.58 ERA) typically brings high velocity, the system identifies "softer" profiles—which in this context can include pitchers with moderate WHIPs or those facing high-contact lineups.
Griffin Jax (1-2, 5.00 ERA) starts for Tampa Bay, and while his ERA is inflated, his ability to induce ground balls fits the "soft" outcome criteria when paired with a Toronto offense that struggles to string together extra-base hits.
With both teams feeling the weight of the May schedule and the roof effectively "killing" any wind-aided power, look for this game to stay under the number.
Pick: Under 7.5
