Tigers vs. Dodgers Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+205 | 8 -112 / -108 | +1.5 -104 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-250 | 8 -112 / -108 | -1.5 -115 |
Los Angeles hopes to a complete a series sweep over Detroit and build upon its 50-26 record at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday.
24-year old flamethrower Bobby Miller (4.03 ERA, 107 1/3 IP) will look to continue building his case for an early spot in the Dodgers' playoff rotation as he matches up against Reese Olson (4.30 ERA, 92 IP).
Detroit Tigers
In the opening two games of this series, the Tigers' offense has put up just five runs and 12 hits, and will have another tough matchup on their hands versus Miller.
They have struggled to a 28th wRC+ of 84 versus right-handed pitching and own an OBP of just .299.
They've seen just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance this season, which is the fourth-lowest mark in the league. Their xwOBA of .311 ranks seventh-worst in baseball.
Over the last 30 days, the Tigers own an OBP of .317 despite holding the 12th-highest BABIP over that span at .302.
They own a BB/K ratio of just 0.35 over that span.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miller enters this matchup in the midst of some solid form, with a 3.68 ERA across his last seven starts. He's allowed a WHIP of just 1.04 in that span, which has allowed him get deep into ball games relative to other starters this season.
He's averaged 18.7 outs in those seven starts.
Miller's xwOBA sits at just .296 this season and his xERA is at 3.64. His Stuff+ of 125 includes elite marks on his fastball, slider and curveball, respectively.
Tigers vs. Dodgers
Betting Pick & Prediction
Miller gets a great matchup here against a soft Tigers lineup. Detroit ranks fourth-lowest in pitches per plate appearance and isn't likely to generate a lot of traffic on the base paths.
Miller has pitched six or more innings in six of seven matchups and his underlying results are strong.
Los Angeles surely doesn't want to tax his arm too greatly down the stretch, but it still seems safe to assume he gets enough of a leash to pitch six innings in this matchup — if he has decent results.
Backing Miller to record over 17.5 outs at FanDuel's outlier price of -128 is my favorite play from this matchup.
