It's been all Dodgers as we head into World Series Game 4 on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium. The boys in blue picked up where they left off in Los Angeles, defeating the Yankees in convincing fashion on Monday night to put themselves one win away from claiming the World Series.
Our experts are all over this potential clinching game with three World Series best bets for Yankees vs Dodgers Game 4. Their Game 4 picks include Luis Gil player props and one World Series futures bet.
World Series Best Bets — Game 4
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
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  | 8:08 p.m. | |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
BJ Cunningham and Tony Sartori's Luis Gil Player Prop Bet
Yankees Game 4 starter Luis Gil has really good stuff — he also some pretty clear flaws.
He finished the regular season with a 110 Stuff+, but he was also wild at times. His BB/9 was up at 4.57 and he had a Location+ of 95. He walked three batters in Game 4 against the Guardians in the ALCS, and given how patient the Dodgers have been, I wouldn't be surprised to see him find trouble.
Gil only has three pitches — a fastball, slider and changeup — and each one offers a ton of movement and generates high whiff rates as a result.
He goes to his fastball about 50% of the time. The reason why his walk rate is so high is he's trying to generate swings and misses outside the zone, but hitters aren't swinging at his heaters at a high rate. Only 47% of his fastballs are in the zone and hitters are swinging at 26.3% of them, which is right at the MLB average.
The Dodgers take a ton of pitches and make life very difficult for opposing pitchers. Clarke Schmidt found out first hand in Game 3 when he walked four batters.
This season Los Angeles had the third-highest walk rate and the fifth-lowest outside the zone swing rate. Even if Gil is on a short leash, Over 2.5 walks at +150 is too good to pass up for me.
By Tony Sartori
With their backs against the wall, the Yankees hand the ball to right-hander Luis Gil in Game 4. While I believe his performance could go either way, the one thing I am confident in his fading his lack of command.
Gil's biggest flaw as a pitcher, by a relatively wide margin, is his tendency to walk opposing batters. In the regular season, he ranked in the seventh percentile in walk rate (12.1%).
This lack of command appeared in his lone postseason start as well — he registered three walks against the Guardians in just four innings. Dating back to the regular season, Gil has surrendered three or more walks three of his last four starts.
These woes are likely to continue against the Dodgers, a team that ranked third in walk rate during the regular season (9.6%).
Clarke Schmidt just surrendered four walks in under three innings against the Dodgers last night, and his command is typically far stronger than Gil's.
Pick: Luis Gil Over 2.5 Walks (+150)
Nick Martin's World Series Futures Bet
By Nick Martin
Can the Yankees flip the script and make amends for their historic collapse to the Red Sox 20 years later?
It feels hard to imagine that happening at this point – ever since Freddie Freeman's walk-off grand slam in Game 1, this series hasn't felt close.
Not too many pundits were predicting either side to win this series comfortably though, and the Yankees will have good pitching matchups in Games 4 and potentially Game 5.
The Yankees are -150 favorites in Game 4, and that number seems fair. Luis Gil has shown plenty of upside at times this season, and he looked fairly good after a dicey outing in his lone playoff start in the ALCS.
At his best Gil, offers an edge over long relievers such as Landon Knack and Brent Honeywell, who should factor into this game early on for L.A.
If the Yankees can find a way to not get swept, they will end up a fairly large favorite with Gerrit Cole on the mound for Game 5.
Cole allowed just one run and four hits across 6 1/3 innings in Game 1; he was hard hit just 28% of the time.
It's unclear whether Jack Flaherty (hamstring tightness) will be ready to go in a potential Game 5, but it still seems more likely the Dodgers would keep Yoshinobu Yamamoto on schedule to pitch Game 6 if Flaherty isn't healthy enough to start.
Yamamoto was spectacular in Game 2 as he looks to be trending back into top form at the right time. I would guess the Dodgers would likely be priced in the -145 range if Game 6 offered a Yamamoto-Carlos Rodon pitching rematch.
Based on the expected prices for Games 4-6, there is value backing the Dodgers to win in six games at +500.
