The New York Yankees are back on track after Wednesday's tight win in Anaheim snapped a two-game slide. They'll be out for a series win in Thursday's rubber match with the Los Angeles Angels.
Carlos Rodon will take the ball for the Yankees in the midst of a much-needed bounce-back following a handful of poor starts in 2023. He'll look to win a duel with fellow southpaw Patrick Sandoval, who's been up-and-down this year.
Will either of these guys help us out in our Same-Game Parlay with a solid performance? Or will they cough up some hits and send us rummaging through hitter props? Let's answer those questions below and build this thing out.
Here's my Yankees vs Angels MLB Parlay: SGP Picks.
Remember to bet responsibly — this is a long shot for a reason.
Yankees vs Angels Same Game Parlay
- Yankees ML (-178)
- Carlos Rodon 6+ Strikeouts (-158)
- Anthony Volpe To Record A Stolen Base (+430)
- Parlay Odds: +1009 (FanDuel)
Yankees ML (-178)
I'll start with the least exciting leg of this parlay.
While I think there's a bit of credence to the under given Sandoval hasn't been that bad this season, I'm terrified of betting on a low-scoring affair considering he's allowed four home runs across his last two outings, including three in the hitter-friendly Angel Stadium last time out against Cleveland.
We saw the Yankees club a home run off of lefty Tyler Anderson and draw six walks against the Angels' starter on Wednesday. Sandoval has walked nearly 10% of batters faced combined with a declining ground-ball rate and an increasing hard-hit rate. He could find the same type of trouble.
Carlos Rodon will have a similar outlook, though he'll be pitching to the worse of the two offenses. The Angels have struggled to find walks, struck out more, and hit just .233 over the past two weeks.
At best for LA, all things are equal in the pitching matchup, which would skew things towards the lineup which has been the second-best in baseball over the past 14 days.
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Carlos Rodon 6+ Strikeouts (-158)
Rodon's beginning to find the strikeout touch that landed him in the top-five in Cy Young voting for two straight seasons before signing with New York.
He only punched out two Padres in a road start last time out, but prior to that, he'd struck out six or more in five straight outings and has managed to go six or more innings in six of his past seven starts.
The southpaw has leaned heavily on his excellent outfield defense to help him out on contact with so many fly balls coming back into play. While his strikeouts from April to May have remained steady, he's seen a noticeable rise in his whiff rate (21.6% in April, 28.9% in May) and chase rate.
His changeup is helping him finish counts despite relatively low usage, and his slider is still allowing a very low expected batting average.
Rodon should return to form in the strikeout department, given what we've seen out of him this month, and that's especially true with the Angels swinging and missing more over the last two weeks.
- Check out our MLB Betting Hub for more previews from today's slate.
Anthony Volpe Stolen Base (+430)
Let's add a risky leg to send this parlay's odds into the stratosphere.
Among the 62 backstops tracked, Logan O'Hoppe grades out as the second-worst catcher in the league in Caught Stealing Above Average (-3).
Meanwhile, Anthony Volpe has already stolen 11 bags this year with his 88th-percentile sprint speed while getting caught only three times.
Volpe is on a tear, carrying a 21-game hitting streak into this one, and he's hitting .273 against lefties this year with a solid enough .344 on-base percentage. He's stolen a base in two of his last six games.
He'll get on base here, and I think he'll challenge one of the worst catchers in the league at throwing out base stealers.
