Mets vs. Royals Odds
| Mets Odds | -150 |
| Royals Odds | +125 |
| Total | 10 (-115 / -105) |
| Date | Tuesday, Aug. 1 |
| Time | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Tuesday afternoon.
The New York Mets play the second game of a three-game series with the Kansas City Royal on Tuesday night at Kauffman Stadium.
Jose Quintana will be on the bump for the Mets and Zack Greinke will start for the Royals.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Greinke player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication expects Greinke to miss some bats against the Mets and suggests a bet on Greinke to go over his strikeouts prop.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Zack Greinke Player Prop Prediction, Projection
At 39 years old, Greinke is not the same pitcher he used to be. He doesn't strike guys out at the same rate he used to and often has to find other ways to get outs.
Greinke has just 66 strikeouts through 101 2/3 innings.
With that being said, his strikeout totals at sportsbooks aren't nearly as high as they used to be.
BetMGM has set his strikeout total at 2.5 with -120 juice to the over, while the under sits at -110. That's the best price on the over in the market.
The model predicts Greinke will have 3.6 strikeouts tonight, good enough for about a 15.7% betting edge.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Zack Greinke Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-120)
