Mavericks vs. Rockets Odds & Betting Predictions - January 2, 2025

Collab w/ @FirefighterBets Jabari has covered this line in 12/17 games this season when playing 27+ MIN and with the proj. HOU lineup. Amen is out for his suspension, so Jabari's minutes should be safer without him + Eason is still questionable. Amen hasn't missed a game yet this season, so going back to last season (gross I know), Jabari covered this line in 10/12 games w/o Amen and w/ this HOU lineup (27+ MIN). In the games he's played 27+ MIN this season, he AVG 7.6 REB on 13.7 REB chances. One of those games was against DAL in October and he grabbed 6 REB on 12 REB chances, however Luka was active, which does change things. DAL rank #21 in REB on the season, allowing 44.4 but w/o Luka they allow an AVG of 46.1, which would rank #27. DAL also play at a faster pace without Luka, which will create more REB chances. Jabari's covered this line in 8/12 vs. teams T10 in REB. When he see's 12+ REB chances in a game, he's covered this line in 15/17 games w/ both misses on the hook. Jabari should MU with PJ who typically sits in the weak-side corner for half the offensive set. Even last game when Kyrie was also out PJ did the same thing, which will allow Jabari to be in the weak-side rebounding position. Also expecting Kyrie/Dinwiddie to run tons of PnR, forcing Sengun into actions and trying to get switches. Recent weak-side rebounders w/o Luka: - Keegan: 6 REB - covered - Grant: 8 REB - covered - Durant: 3 REB - Randle: 10 REB - covered - Harden: 8 and 4 REB - covered 1/2

Run it backkkk