The Golden State Warriors (4-2) and Indiana Pacers (0-5) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. The game will broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Warriors are 10.5-point favorites over the Pacers on the spread (Warriors -10.5), with the over/under set at 230 total points. Golden State is a -500 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Indiana is +375 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Pacers predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, November 1.
My Warriors vs Pacers Prediction
- Warriors vs Pacers pick: Pacers Team Total Under 109.5 Points (-110)
My Pacers vs Warriors best bet is on Indiana to score under 109.5 points, with the best price currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Warriors vs Pacers Odds
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10.5 -110 | 230 -110o / -110u | -500 |
| Pacers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10.5 -110 | 230 -110o / -110u | +375 |
Warriors vs Pacers NBA Preview
Indiana couldn't have had a better opportunity to snap their winless streak than on Friday night.
Indiana returned home after a three-game road trip to face a Hawks team that hadn't exactly hit the ground running at 2-3, despite a busy offseason filled with quality acquisitions.
While the Pacers remained competitive in the early stages, trailing by only 4 points (63-59) after the second quarter, they completely capitulated in the second half, shooting just 17-of-51 (33.3%) from the floor, compared to 26-of-48 (54.2%) for the Hawks.
Indiana ultimately lost the game 128-108 and now faces a quick back-to-back against a Warriors team that enters the game with a one-day rest advantage.
Availability has undoubtedly been an issue for Indiana, with seven players on the injury report, highlighted by none other than Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles), who is out for the year.
Haliburton is just one of Indiana's point guards carrying an injury, as T.J. McConnell (hamstring) is also out until Nov. 11.
Andrew Nembhard (shoulder) could return on Saturday, but we won't know his status until the Pacers release their official report by 1 p.m. local time.
In addition to missing key playmakers, the Pacers are also missing some scoring punch with Bennedict Mathurin (toe) and Obi Toppin (foot) ruled out. Mathurin averaged 31 points across the two games he played, while Toppin averaged 14 points across his three games.
As a result, it's not entirely surprising to see the Warriors as high as 10.5-point road favorites after opening at -9.5.
One thing I can tell you is that I want no part of backing the Pacers, given their current personnel issues.
Double-digit underdogs this season are 4-6-1 against the spread.
Warriors vs Pacers Prediction, Betting Analysis
I'm never a big fan of laying double-digits — particularly on the road.
Although it's a small sample size at the moment, teams in this spot are 0-2 against the spread.
A better approach might be to isolate a potential weakness we've already identified with the Pacers.
Given the short rest and the lengthy list of players unavailable, it's increasingly likely Indiana will struggle offensively.
Golden State remains one of the better defensive teams in the league, ranking in the top 10 in efficiency, allowing 111 points per 100 possessions.
It's worth noting that the under is on a 4-0 run in this series and 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
While we've already seen a slight move on the under from 232 to 231.5, I'm more interested in Indiana's team total, which is available at 109.5.
The Pacers haven't scored more than 110 points in four straight games as their uptempo style isn't quite as potent when you're ineffective from the perimeter.
Indiana's 3-point percentage (31.2%) is the second-worst in the league, adding even more value to the team total staying under.
Pick: Pacers Team Total Under 109.5 Points (-110, BetMGM)
Pacers vs Warriors Betting Trends
