The Golden State Warriors (8-6) and New Orleans Pelicans (2-10) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EST from Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, La. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BA.
The Warriors are 10.5-point favorites over the Pelicans on the spread (Warrios -10.5), with the over/under set at 227.5 total points. Golden State is a -525 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Pelicans is +375 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Pelicans predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, November 16.
My Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction
- Warriors vs Pelicans pick: Under 227.5
My Pelicans vs Warriors best bet is on the under total points, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Warriors vs Pelicans Odds
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10.5 -110 | 227.5 -110o / -110u | -525 |
| Pelicans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10.5 -110 | 227.5 -110o / -110u | +375 |
Warriors vs Pelicans NBA Preview
Golden State is a heavy -525 favorite on the moneyline, while New Orleans sits as a +375 underdog looking to snap out of a difficult stretch.
Golden State is coming off a dramatic 109–108 win over San Antonio, powered by a vintage explosion from Stephen Curry, who dropped 49 points and completely took over the second half.
Curry scored 31 after halftime, hit 9 of 17 from three, and drilled the game-winning free throws to secure the Warriors’ first NBA Cup victory. He enters this matchup averaging 29.1 PPG, 3.5 RPG and 3.7 APG on the season.
New Orleans, meanwhile, has lost four straight and continues to struggle on its home floor, posting a 1–4 mark in the Smoothie King Center.
The latest setback came against the Lakers, and the Pelicans once again played without Zion Williamson, who remains sidelined with a left hamstring strain.
Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction, Betting Analysis
This matchup fits Evan Abrams’ “Line vs. Public Unders” system, which targets early-season totals that drop from open to close even as the public loads up on the over. When sharp money pushes a number down against public sentiment, it signals that expectations for scoring are inflated.
Early in the season, offenses are inconsistent, rotations are unsettled, and defensive energy usually outpaces shooting and execution.
By following the sharp adjustment and fading public optimism, this system consistently uncovers value on early-season unders.
Pick: Under 227.5 (-110)
Pelicans vs Warriors Betting Trends
