The New York Knicks (1-2) and Indiana Pacers (2-1) will will face off in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals tonight. Tipoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. The game will broadcast live on TNT.
The Pacers are 2.5-point favorites over the Knicks on the spread, with the over/under set at 219.5 total points. Indiana is a -148 favorite to win outright, while New York is +124 to pull off the upset.
The Knicks are no longer dangling off the edge of the cliff. By winning the previous matchup, they ensured a fifth game back in New York to avoid elimination at the very least, if not take a 3-2 lead after appearing hopeless in the first two games of this series.
The question is, how will Indiana respond after a 20-point collapse? Let's get into my Knicks vs. Pacers predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, May 27.
Knicks vs Pacers Prediction for Eastern Conference Finals Game 4
My Pacers vs. Knicks Game 4 best bet is on the Under at 219.5 total points, with the best line currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to shop for the best price using our live NBA odds page.
My Pick: Under 219.5 (-110)
Knicks vs Pacers Odds, Picks for Tuesday, May 27
| Knicks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 219.5 -110o / -110u | +124 |
| Pacers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 219.5 -110o / -110u | -148 |
- Knicks vs. Pacers spread: Pacers -2.5
- Knicks vs. Pacers over/under: 219.5 total points
- Knicks vs. Pacers moneyline: Knicks +124, Pacers -148
- Knicks vs. Pacers best bet: Under 219.5 (-110)
New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Eastern Conference Finals Game 4 Preview
The Pacers have now lost all three of their Game 3s in the playoffs. However, they also went on to win both of the following Game 4s.
When the Cavaliers blew them out in their third matchup of the semifinals with their full roster available, the idea from many was that Cleveland had a chance at the come back and win the series.
Instead, the Pacers dominated them in Game 4, and then closed them out on the road in Game 5.
This script in this series seems pretty similar.
The Pacers had several things go wrong for them last game.
Jalen Brunson picked up four fouls, which ended up being a blessing in disguise, because it meant the Knicks played other guards like Delon Wright and Landry Shamet, who moved the ball and served as a better counter to the Pacers’ defense.
The Pacers shot 5-of-25 from three-point range, with the attempts as bad as the misses.
Now, last game was last game, and this game is this game. Game 4 is obviously its own thing.
However, there wasn’t a major strategic shift that altered New York's fortunes in the previous matchup.
The Knicks changed their starting lineup, which led to the new starting lineup only winning its minutes by one point, thanks to late free throws.
The best lineup for the Knicks last game? Ironically, their original starting lineup with Josh Hart, which was +9 in the win.
Indiana has the motivation to respond in Game 4 tonight.
The public is on Indy; 74% of the tickets and 71% of the money are on Indiana -2.
However, we’ve continued to track sharp action on the Knicks in this spot, so there’s been little-to-no movement on the spread.
This seems like a great Pacers spot, but I also have this projected as Pacers -3.3, same as last game.
I’ve liked Indiana in every game of this series because I have both of these teams power rated differently than the market.
I lean Pacers again in Game 4, but will ultimately stay away just in case New York has a few more tricks up its sleeve.
Knicks vs Pacers Betting Predictions for Game 4
Under 219.5 (-110)
This is all Pros vs. Joes on the total of over/under 220.5 in Game 4 tonight.
We’re tracking 95% of the tickets on the over and 94% of the money. But there’s been so much sharp action on the under that it’s moved down from the opening line of 222.5 to 220.5.
The Knicks held the Pacers to 100 points last game. That seems unlikely again.
New York only scored 106 (and won), which also seems unlikely to happen again.
But that’s also a 14-point combined differential to this total.
I’ve consistently made the total in this series over/under 218, so I’ve liked the under in all three games.
Outside of the first quarter of the first matchup where Indiana shot the lights out in the bonkers fourth quarter, it’s been mostly an under series.
The Pacers are a little better defensively than the market thinks, and the Knicks offense is a little worse than the market thinks.
New York's defense and Indiana's offense are both a little overrated as well, but not as much as the other departments.
I am once agin on the under in Game 4 tonight.
Myles Turner Over 14.5 Points (-130)
Turner continues to get opportunities when the Knicks switch, and he continues to punish them.
I don’t want to mess with this three-point prop. It’s too inconsistent. But he usually does find a way to score and will have chances.
Miles McBride Over 10.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)
I don’t really trust Tom Thibodeau to continue playing a deeper rotation, but it’s the logical move.
McBride has been good in this series and helps on the defensive side as well.
Andrew Nembhard Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)
Nembhard has gone under this line in the last two games, and only went over in the first game because of overtime.
This is a tough matchup for him in all areas.
Knicks vs Pacers Game 4 Best Bets
- Under 219.5 (-110)
- Myles Turner Over 14.5 Points (-130)
- Miles McBride Over 10.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)
- Andrew Nembhard Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)
Knicks vs. Pacers Betting Trends
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