The Oklahoma City Thunder (46-15) and Dallas Mavericks (21-38) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on KFAA.
The Thunder are 16-point favorites over the Mavericks on the spread (Thunder -16), with the over/under set at 234.5 total points. Oklahoma City is a -1200 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Dallas is +750 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, March 1.
Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction, Picks
- Thunder vs Mavericks pick: Daniel Gafford Over 8.5 Points (-115)
My Mavericks vs. Thunder best bet is on Daniel Gafford to score nine or more points. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Thunder vs Mavericks Odds
| Thunder Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-16 -110 | 234.5 -110o / -110u | -1200 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+16 -110 | 234.5 -110o / -110u | +750 |
Thunder vs Mavericks NBA Preview
Action PRO projects Mavericks center Daniel Gafford for 11.17 points tonight against the Thunder, good for a whopping 24.8% edge on his Over, currently set at over/under 8.5 points at bet365. That gives this prop an A+ grade in our database.
Gafford will be going up against the Western Conference's best defense on a points allowed per game basis, as the Thunder come into this one allowing 108.2 per contest.
With Cooper Flagg (foot), P.J. Washington (ankle), and Marvin Bagley III (neck) all listed out as of Saturday night, the Mavs' frontcourt depth will be highly limited on Sunday, putting more onus and attention on Gafford on the offensive end.
Thunder vs Mavericks Predictions, Betting Analysis
Gafford has eclipsed 8.5 points in each of his last two games, exploding for 14 against the Grizzlies last time out on Friday night.
It's worth noting that Gafford has also been out for each of the Mavs' two prior games against the Thunder this season, but that means that the Thunder don't have a game-tested game plan for him yet.
Gafford faced the Thunder all four times last season, averaging an even 10 points per game in those outings.
Pick: Daniel Gafford Over 8.5 Points (-115)
Spread
We will not be betting either side of the spread in this game.
Moneyline
No play on the moneyline in tonight's contest.
Over/Under
Our Thunder vs. Mavericks betting prediction is on Daniel Gafford Over 8.5 Points.
