The Cal Poly Mustangs take on the Hawaii Warriors in Honolulu, Hawaii. Tip-off is set for 11:59 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Hawaii is favored by -11.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -674. The total is set at 161.5 points.
Here’s our Cal Poly vs. Hawaii predictions and college basketball picks for February 19, 2026.
Cal Poly vs Hawaii Prediction
Our Pick: Cal Poly +10.5 or Better
Our Cal Poly vs Hawaii best bet is on Cal Poly to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Cal Poly vs. Hawaii Odds
| Cal Poly Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11 -105 | 161.5 -110o / -110u | +550 |
| Hawaii Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11 -115 | 161.5 -110o / -110u | -800 |
Cal Poly vs Hawaii College Basketball Betting Preview
Today's Cal Poly vs. Hawaii matchup in the Big West Conference fits a historically profitable betting system from our Bet Labs database.
This system is built on the idea that in college basketball, teams that previously lost to an opponent by 20 or more points often respond with greater focus and motivation when facing that same team later in the season, particularly in February or March when postseason stakes rise.
These late-season rematches tend to tighten as coaches make tactical adjustments, players remember the earlier loss and effort on the defensive end increases.
When the spread is double digits or higher, the market frequently overestimates the gap between the programs based on the prior blowout. As a result, the revenge-minded team often performs above expectations against the spread, making these matchups a valuable opportunity to back the underdog in a motivated spot.
This system boasts strong historical performance in Big West and similar mid-major conference rematches, where bounce-back efforts from large prior defeats lead to covers for the underdog in double-digit spots, especially on the road in February play.
Recent seasons show elevated success rates as teams dig in defensively and execute better in familiar opponent scenarios, turning potential routs into competitive games that stay within the number.
The Mustangs suffered a 20-point defeat (86-66) to the Warriors in their earlier meeting on January 15.
This late-season rematch at Stan Sheriff Center sets up a classic revenge spot for Cal Poly in mid-February.
My Pick: Cal Poly +10.5 or Better
