HomeRight ArrowNCAAB

College Basketball Picks: Big Late-Night Edge Leads Sunday’s Top Bets

College Basketball Picks: Big Late-Night Edge Leads Sunday’s Top Bets article feature image
4 min read
Credit:

Kirby Lee-Imagn Images. Pictured: Wayne Tinkle (Oregon State)

There's no more football on Sunday, which opens the way for a full college basketball slate that includes the Big 12, Big Ten and more.

Our staff has three spots to target on the schedule, giving you multiple edges for your NCAAB betting card.

Read for college basketball picks, including a big late-night edge in Oregon State vs. Seattle.


College Basketball Best Bets

GameTime (ET)Pick
UTSA Roadrunners LogoCharlotte 49ers Logo
12 p.m.
Indiana Hoosiers LogoIllinois Fighting Illini Logo
1 p.m.
Oregon State Beavers LogoSeattle Redhawks Logo
8 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

UTSA vs. Charlotte

UTSA Roadrunners Logo
Sunday, Feb. 15
12 p.m. ET
ESPNU
Charlotte 49ers Logo
UTSA +14.5
DraftKings  Logo

By Evan Abrams

UTSA is one of the worst teams in college basketball, sitting at 348th in KenPom's rankings with a 4-20 record on the season.

So, while it seems strange to put faith in the Roadrunners, especially on the road against a Charlotte team above .500 (13-11 overall), my reliable Bet Labs system on Sports Insights — "Slow Pace, Struggling" — says this is the way to attack this 12 p.m. ET Conference USA tilt.

What makes this play a "best bet" is the fact that this system is notching a 13% return on investment this season thus far, including a 95-66-1 overall record.

NCAAB Icon
Evan Abrams – Slow Pace, Struggling
the team's Win/Loss streak is -26 or -25 or -24 or -23 or -22 or -21 or -20 or -19 or -18 or -17 or -16 or -15 or -14 or -13 or -12 or -11 or -10 or -9 or -8 or -7 or -6 or -5 or -4 or -3 games
the game is played during the Postseason or Regular season
the team is the Visitor team
the team's pace is between 0 and 73
the spread is between 8 and 100
$11,682
WON
1685-1452-47
RECORD
54%
WIN%

This system titled "Slow Pace Struggling" is rooted in the idea that large road underdogs on extended losing streaks (17 games in UTSA's case) who already play at a deliberate tempo are often priced as if they'll collapse rather than compete.

By focusing on visiting teams riding significant losing runs with low pace profiles and catching sizable spreads in either the regular season or postseason, the angle assumes the market overreacts to recent results without fully accounting for style.

Slow paced teams reduce total possessions, which naturally compresses scoring margins and makes it more difficult for favorites to create separation.

Even when talent gaps exist, fewer trips up and down the floor limit volatility and keep games within reach.

A struggling visitor that grinds possessions, shortens the game and avoids transition chaos can linger inside inflated numbers, turning what looks like a mismatch on paper into a cover driven by tempo control and mathematical scarcity of scoring opportunities.

Pick: UTSA +14.5


Indiana vs. Illinois

Indiana Hoosiers Logo
Sunday, Feb. 15
1 p.m. ET
CBS
Illinois Fighting Illini Logo
Illinois -10.5
DraftKings  Logo

By Ryan Minion

Prior to this week, Illinois had been one of the hottest teams in the country, rattling off 13 consecutive victories even after losing its senior leader and star point guard Kylan Boswell. The Illini are now coming off consecutive losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin, resulting in sizable implications for Sunday afternoon’s Big Ten clash.

There was a lot of uncertainty in Champaign after the Illini lost Boswell to a broken hand, but the impact of freshman guard Keaton Wagler has been tremendous.

After Boswell went down, Illinois had an extremely difficult test in front of it, having to travel to West Lafayette for a meeting with Purdue. Instead, Wagler put up an insane 46-point performance in a seven-point upset victory.

The freshman continues to excel while Boswell remains sidelined, and Wagler has proven to be one of the most premier scorers in the sport (nearly 19 PPG).

Behind the stellar play of its star freshman, Underwood’s bunch ranks first in the entire country in offensive efficiency, according to KenPom.

I don't envision Indiana being able to match the pace of the Illini’s up-tempo offensive firepower in this matchup.

Illinois has something to prove coming off those consecutive losses, one of which occurred on its home floor, thus this is a prime bounce-back spot.

I'll put my faith in Wagler.

Pick: Illinois -10.5


Oregon State vs. Seattle

Oregon State Beavers Logo
Sunday, Feb. 15
8 p.m. ET
ESPN+
Seattle Redhawks Logo
Under 137.5
DraftKings  Logo

By Alex Kolodziej

We have a juicy Sunday night edge out West as Oregon State takes on Seattle.

The edge lies on the under, as our Action PRO projections say this number should be near 131.5 rather than the 137.5 mark it currently lies at (at the time of writing).

That A-grade and +9.9% edge is tough to pass up, especially in a standalone spot on a Sunday evening without football.

Expect these two offenses to go low.

Pick: Under 137.5

Playbook
Author Profile
About the Author

Action Network is a team of seasoned sports betting experts specializing in a broad range of sports, from the NFL and NBA to less mainstream options like cricket and darts. Their staff includes well-known analysts like Sean Koerner and Stuckey, recognized for their accurate predictions and deep sports knowledge. The team is dedicated to delivering expert analysis and daily best bets, ensuring bettors are well-informed across all major sports.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.