The Kentucky Wildcats take on the Florida Gators in the 2026 SEC Tournament in Nashville, Tennessee, on Friday, March 13. Tip-off is set for 1 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Florida is favored by 11.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -525. Kentucky, meanwhile, enters as a +11.5 underdog and is +390 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 159.5 total points.
Here’s my Kentucky vs. Florida prediction and college basketball picks for Friday, March 13.
Kentucky vs Florida Prediction
My Pick: Over 159.5
My Kentucky vs Florida best bet is on the points total over. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Kentucky vs Florida Odds
| Kentucky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11 -110 | 159.5 -110o / -110u | +390 |
| Florida Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11 -110 | 159.5 -110o / -110u | -525 |
- Kentucky vs Florida Spread: Florida -11, Kentucky +11
- Kentucky vs Florida Over/Under: 159.5 Points
- Kentucky vs Florida Moneyline: Kentucky +390, Florida -525
Kentucky vs Florida SEC Tournament Pick, Betting Preview
Kentucky is definitely helping its case with back-to-back wins to open up the SEC Tournament. Its reward? A date with the No. 1 seed Florida Gators.
These two teams met in the regular-season finale, which ended in a seven-point Florida win.
The Gators just recently moved up into the conversation for a No. 1 seed. That would be two in a row for this team.
This spread is a little big for my liking. I lean toward taking the points with Kentucky, especially since the spread sat around six points the last time they met.
I don’t think Florida is five points better on a neutral court, and Kentucky has been within double digits in both losses to Florida.
Ultimately, I'll attack this game the same way I did in their last meeting: by taking the over.
The number is about the same as their prior meetings, which ended with 161 and 175 points, respectively. Expect the pace to be fast and furious, and as we often see in tournaments, we can expect a lot of late-game free throws.
Both teams sit in the top 63 in average possession length before a shot attempt, and Florida ranks 24th in adjusted tempo. The Gators will push and dictate the pace here.
My Pick: Over 159.5 (Play to 161)
