The Arizona Wildcats (6-3, 3-3 Big 12) take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (7-2, 5-1 Big 12) in Cincinnati, Ohio, on Saturday, Nov. 15. Kickoff is set for 12 p.m. ET on FS1.
Cincinnati is favored by 6 points on the spread with a moneyline of -220. Arizona, meanwhile, enters as a +6 underdog and is +180 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 56 total points.
Here’s my Arizona vs. Cincinnati prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15.
Arizona vs Cincinnati Prediction
- Arizona vs. Cincinnati Pick: Under 56.5 (Play to 54.5)
My Cincinnati vs. Arizona best bet is on both teams to go under the total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Arizona vs Cincinnati Odds
| Arizona Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6 -110 | 56 -110o / -110u | +180 |
| Cincinnati Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6 -110 | 56 -110o / -110u | -220 |
- Arizona vs Cincinnati Spread: Cincinnati -6, Arizona +6
- Arizona vs Cincinnati Over/Under: 56 Points
- Arizona vs Cincinnati Moneyline: Arizona +180, Cincinnati -220
Arizona vs Cincinnati Game Preview
Why Arizona Can Cover
The Wildcats have gotten back on track in conference play, winning two straight against Kansas and Colorado. They've done so by outscoring their opposition, 76-37, thanks to some excellent play on the defensive end.
If Arizona is going to pull off the upset here, we should see it make this game more of a grind than expected. Both teams play fast, but the Wildcats defense has the opportunity to set the tone by shutting down the Bearcats offense.
While that's no easy task, the Wildcats rank 33rd in yards per rush allowed, seventh in yards per pass allowed and fourth in opponent completion percentage.
On the other side of the ball, it's up to quarterback Noah Fifita to remain efficient. He faces a vulnerable Cincinnati secondary that's 106th in opponent completion percentage and 69th in yards per pass allowed.
We could see some support from the backfield as well, running backs Ismail Mahdi and Quincy Craig have combined to average 6.9 yards per carry.
Why Cincinnati Can Cover
The Bearcats come into this matchup off their worst loss of the season to Utah. They allowed a season-high 45 points and also put up a season-low 14 points.
That final score is extremely deceiving, as they had little trouble moving the ball against the Utes; they were hampered by turnovers and inefficiency in the red zone.
While we shouldn't expect those issues to persist, it's hard to ignore just how tough a matchup they have in the Arizona defense.
We went over how stout the Wildcats are and have been. So, yes, the Bearcats have been an electric offense, but they have yet to face a defense of this caliber. Their struggles could slow this game down a lot.
How To Make Arizona vs Cincinnati Picks
The market hasn't taken a big stance on this total. We've seen a few moves down to 55.5, but they quickly moved back up. However, those small fluctuations are an indication that a stronger move is coming.
Arizona's defense should contain the Bearcats offense, which has yet to be truly tested. Then, on the other side of the ball, the Wildcats have the opportunity to be more methodical by finding success on the ground.
This combination will lead to the under cashing.
Pick: Under 56.5 (Play to 54.5)
Moneyline
No play.
Against The Spread
No play.
Over/Under
I'm the Under at 54.5 or better.
Arizona vs Cincinnati Betting Trends
