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CFP Odds, Picks, Predictions: Experts Aligned on Georgia vs. Ole Miss

CFP Odds, Picks, Predictions: Experts Aligned on Georgia vs. Ole Miss article feature image
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Imagn Images. Pictured: Georgia Bulldogs QB Gunner Stockton (left), Ole Miss Rebels QB Trinidad Chambliss (right).

The 2025-26 College Football Playoff continues on Thursday with another quarterfinal matchup between No. 3 Georgia and No. 6 Ole Miss.

Our experts from the Big Bets On Campus podcast have two correlated bets for this CFP game.

Let's take a look at the CFP odds and college football picks for Georgia vs. Ole Miss in the second round of the CFP below.

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Georgia vs. Ole Miss Odds

Georgia Logo
Thursday, Jan 1
8 p.m. ET
ESPN
Ole Miss Logo
Georgia Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-6.5
-108
55.5
-112o / -108u
-245
Ole Miss Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+6.5
-112
55.5
-112o / -108u
+200
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
DraftKings Logo

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Mike Calabrese's Pick: Over 58 or Better

The first meeting between these two finished with 78 points.

Ole Miss was on fire defensively, although Georgia figured the Rebels out in the fourth quarter.

However, I’m banking on Gunner Stockton. This could be a showcase game for the Bulldog quarterback.

He’s amassed 31 total touchdowns on over 3,000 total yards this season. Against elite competition, he’s shown he’s more than a game manager, picking up 13 combined scores against Ole Miss, Texas, and Alabama.

I think this is a bad matchup for the Ole Miss defense. If you can run on the Rebels, as Georgia can with its offensive line, you can be balanced and sit in the pocket all day against a non-existent pass rush.

If Ole Miss can’t get to Stockton with four rushers, the Rebels will be forced to blitz him. That’s extra important in this game because Stockton leads the nation in adjusted completion percentage against the blitz (86%), throwing for 17 touchdowns against just one interception.

On the other side of the ball, I’m a big believer in Trinidad Chambliss. And if the Rebels can get more production from Kewan Lacey, who struggled in the first head-to-head matchup, I could see them putting up another 35-point effort.

I also expect Ole Miss to be aggressive, throwing in some trick plays, RPOs, and so on. It’s a part of the Rebels’ identity.

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Collin Wilson's Pick: Georgia TT Over 30.5

At some point, Ole Miss is going to run out of gas.

And, at some point, Georgia should find its next gear.

If you look at the game script from Week 8, the Rebels started the game with five straight touchdowns, then were beaten to a pulp in the fourth quarter, losing 17-0.

That was with Lane Kiffin making adjustments, which he obviously won’t do in this game. I’m uncertain if Charlie Weiss Jr. can generate five touchdowns on five straight possessions.

I also don’t have much faith in Pete Golding’s defense stopping Georgia’s offense.

The Rebels can’t defend the run, and they struggle mightily against Georgia’s main run concepts — specifically, inside-zone concepts with Stockton and Nate Frazier in 11- and 12-personnel.

I also don’t trust Ole Miss’ defense in the red zone, especially against a Georgia offense that has scored 35 touchdowns in 40 red-zone opportunities.

I think Kirby Smart piles it on.

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