This week, our top player props feature South Carolina quarterback LaNorris Sellers, Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton, and Florida running back Jaden Baugh.
Here are my top three college football player props and NCAAF picks for Saturday, November 15.
College Football Player Props for Saturday, Nov. 15
- LaNorris Sellers Over 16.5 Rushing Yards (-115 · bet365)
- Behren Morton Under 251.5 Passing Yards (-115 · bet365)
- Jadan Baugh Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115 · Hard Rock)
LaNorris Sellers Over 16.5 Rushing Yards
Gamecocks' quarterback LaNorris Sellers began the year as a dark horse Heisman candidate.
While struggles through the air and overall team success have dampened those aspirations, Sellers is still a tremendous threat on the ground and the team's leading ball carrier.
The big caveat for Sellers rushing totals this season is the additional factors of sacks. South Carolina ranks 135th in sack rate, which has negated many of Sellers' gains with his legs and led to him averaging just 1.1 yards per carry.
Now, the Texas A&M Aggies' defensive line is formidable, ranking third nationally in defensive sack rate. However, the constant pressure should force Sellers to run more than usual in this matchup.
He has the volume and the ability to pick up chunk gains with his legs.
Pick: LaNorris Sellers Over 16.5 Rushing Yards (-115 · bet365)
Behren Morton Under 251.5 Passing Yards
Next, we head to Lubbock, where Red Raiders quarterback Behren Morton has found himself taking a step back this season.
Texas Tech has a dynamic duo at running back that is highly efficient, taking the offensive load off Morton.
In seasons past, Morton was a gunslinger in a vertical offense. That's no longer the case, as we've seen Morton go under this total in five of eight games already this season.
This week, Morton faces a stout UCF secondary that ranks 18th nationally in passing yards allowed per game and 68th in opponent completion percentage.
Despite the tough matchup, Texas Tech is a big favorite, but we should expect the Red Raiders to build that lead by grinding on the ground.
Pick: Behren Morton Under 251.5 Passing Yards (-115 · bet365)
Jadan Baugh Over 63.5 Passing Yards
I'm not high on Florida's offense.
However, there is value in starting running back Jadan Baugh.
Baugh's volume has been nearly game-script-proof, as he averages 16.3 carries per game and gains 5.3 yards per attempt. He has averaged 81.5 rushing yards per game, and this week takes on an Ole Miss defense that is average against the run.
Pick: Jadan Baugh Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115 · Hard Rock)
