The Texas Longhorns take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville, Mississippi. Kickoff is set for 4:15 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Texas is favored by 7 points on the spread with a moneyline of -275. The total is set at 45.5 points.
Here’s my Texas vs. Mississippi State prediction and college football picks for Saturday, October 25.
Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks
- Texas vs. Mississippi State Pick: Texas -7
My Mississippi State vs. Texas best bet is on the Longhorns to cover. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Texas vs Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Lines
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 +100 | 48.5 -105o / -115u | -340 |
| Mississippi State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -120 | 48.5 -105o / -115u | +270 |
Texas vs Mississippi State NCAAF Pick
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
In regular-season college football conference play, teams from power conferences such as the SEC, Big Ten, ACC, and Big 12 that are in the middle of multi-game road trips often perform better than expected against the spread.
These stretches test a team’s endurance and focus, but they also build rhythm, cohesion, and a sense of purpose that single road games do not.
Because oddsmakers and bettors tend to overvalue home-field advantages and undervalue teams in extended travel sequences, disciplined and motivated road squads can capitalize on inflated lines.
In conference matchups, where familiarity with opponents and schemes reduces volatility, these teams are better equipped to execute within controlled game environments, especially when totals are modest and favor structured, efficient play rather than high-scoring chaos.
This is the Longhorns' second straight road game and fourth consecutive game away from Austin. I'm thinking they may be used to playing on the road, and they're likely in a good road rhythm for Saturday's matchup.
Meanwhile, I think Mississippi State is starting to lose steam after an impressive start to the season. The Longhorns' defense is still elite, and the Bulldogs only managed nine points against Texas A&M two weeks ago.
Pick: Texas -7
