The Utah Utes take on the Baylor Bears in Waco, Texas. Kickoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EST on ESPN2.
Utah is favored by 8.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -325. The total is set at 60.5 points.
Here’s my Utah vs. Baylor prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15, 2025.
Utah vs Baylor Prediction
- Utah vs. Baylor Pick: Utah Team Total Over 34.5 (-115, DraftKings)
My Baylor vs. Utah best bet is on the Utes to go over their total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Utah vs Baylor Odds
| Utah Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -112 | 60.5 -108o / -112u | -325 |
| Baylor Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -108 | 60.5 -108o / -112u | +275 |
- Utah vs Baylor point spread: Utah -8.5 (-112), Baylor +8.5 (-108)
- Utah vs Baylor over/under: 60.5 (-108o / -112u)
- Utah vs Baylor moneyline: Utah -325, Baylor +275
Utah vs Baylor Preview
Utah Utes Betting Preview: Utes in the Playoffs?
Utah has an opportunity to play its way into the CFB playoff discussion over the last three weeks of this season, but the Utes will need to win convincingly and earn style points.
The offense has looked really impressive while scoring over 42 points in four of the past five games.
Devon Dampier appears to be healthy, and this rushing attack is peaking at the right time. Utah is averaging 6 yards per carry on the ground this season, with 27 rushing touchdowns. It is equipped with an offensive line capable of dominating the last three opponents on the schedule.
Defensively, the Utes have been locked in all season, allowing just 14.2 points per game and locking down against the pass.
The Utes' secondary has only allowed six passing touchdowns against them, and only Texas Tech has thrown for more than 220 yards against the Utes in any game this season.
I think this defense should be ready to go here, and we should see another strong showing from the Utah stop unit this weekend.
Baylor Bears Betting Preview: All Bark, No Bite
Baylor has struggled through a disappointing season that really never got off the ground.
Starting with a season-opening home loss to Auburn, the Bears never went on a run, and losses toArizona State, TCU, and Cincinnati have thwarted conference championship aspirations in Waco.
This team is likely to make a bowl game this year, but the coaching seat for Dave Aranda certainly has to be getting warmer by the minute.
This Baylor offense has battled injuries this season, but Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 2,780 yards and 26 touchdowns. Still, the pass game has missed some deep shots this year, and we haven’t seen the quick-strike ability from this offense.
Baylor ranking just 52nd nationally in Pass Explosiveness is quite an indicator, given that this team has routinely ranked higher and had a much more proficient “deep shot” game.
Defensively, the Bears are a mess and have been all season.
The pass rush has been nonexistent, while only recording 33 tackles for loss and nine sacks this season. The run defense has been routinely gashed, and PFF grades Baylor as the worst run-stopping unit in the conference.
This is a bad matchup for Baylor this week.
Utah vs Baylor Pick, Betting Analysis
Utah should have its way with the Bears in this matchup, and its team total is set at 34.5.
I like the team total over.
Utah is going to run the ball, and the ground game is peaking at the right time. Utah has run for over 200 yards in five straight games, highlighted by a 422-yard performance against Colorado a couple of weeks back.
At the same time, Baylor ranks 109th nationally in Rush Success Rate allowed and 110th in EPA per Rush allowed.
Baylor is giving up 180 yards per game at 4.5 yards per carry on the ground this season, while ranking 99th nationally in Defensive Finishing Drives.
I expect Utah to move the football here and finish drives in the end zone rather than settling for field goals. Utah has scored on 37 of 41 red zone trips with 32 touchdowns.
Baylor has turned the ball over 17 times this season. This could set up short fields and quick touchdown drives for Utah if the Bears are careless with the football.
Utah has done well to prevent pass explosiveness, and the secondary has eight interceptions this year. I would expect a turnover or two for Baylor and a cheap score for the Utes here.
Utah has a solid pass rush that will create problems for the Baylor defensive line in this game. Baylor will struggle to sustain possession here, and I expect minimal contribution out of the run game for Baylor. Utah has done well to put teams in unfavorable third-down situations, where the Utes are only giving up 31% of third-down conversions.
Utah is highly motivated to win this game and needs some style points to impress the committee – and possibly their computer rankings for the Big 12 tiebreaker scenarios.
The Utes have been locked in, and this is a bad matchup for Baylor defensively.
Pick: Utah Team Total Over 34.5 (-115, DraftKings)
