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Cowboys vs. Browns Prediction, Picks, Odds & How to Watch: Best NFL Week 1 Bets

Cowboys vs. Browns Prediction, Picks, Odds & How to Watch: Best NFL Week 1 Bets article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Dak Prescott (left) and Deshaun Watson.

The Dallas Cowboys (12-5 in 2023) begin the 2024 NFL regular season against the Cleveland Browns (11-6 last season), with kickoff set for 4:25 p.m. ET at Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland. The game is airing on FOX and all major streaming platforms, such as YouTube TV.

The Browns are favored by 2.5 points over the Cowboys in the latest NFL odds for Week 1, with the game total set at 41.5. Cleveland is a -130 favorite on the moneyline, with the Cowboys +110 to win outright.

The Cowboys are coming off of an NFC East-winning campaign, although they once again came up short in the playoffs. Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb will look to finally get Dallas over the hump this year. The Browns, meanwhile, need Deshaun Watson to get his career back on track this season after a couple of underwhelming seasons to start his time with the Browns.

It's time for my Cowboys vs. Browns predictions and my NFL predictions and picks for this Sunday afternoon game in Week 1.

Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns Odds

Cowboys Logo
Sunday, Sep 8
4:25 p.m. ET
FOX
Browns Logo
Cowboys Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
-115
41.5
-110o / -110u
+110
Browns Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-105
41.5
-110o / -110u
-130
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Cowboys vs. Browns Point Spread: Cowboys +2.5 | Browns -2.5
  • Cowboys vs. Browns Total: Over/Under 41.5
  • Cowboys vs. Browns Moneyline: Cowboys +110 | Browns -130

Browns vs Cowboys Betting Trends

  • 92% of bets and 93% of the money are on the Cowboys to cover the spread.
  • 90% of bets and 72% of the money are on the over.
  • 60% of bets and 47% of the money on the moneyline are on the Browns to win outright.

Betting trends via our live, updating NFL public betting & money percentages page.

Cowboys vs. Browns Picks

SPREAD

I'm betting the Cowboys against the spread as road underdogs.

MONEYLINE

While I'm betting Dallas to cover, I'm not betting the Cowboys on the moneyline, and I'm definitely not betting the Browns.

OVER/UNDER

I have no pick on the Cowboys-Browns over/under.

My Browns vs. Cowboys Pick: Cowboys +2.5

Cowboys at Browns Preview, Analysis

I get all of the hate on the Cowboys, but we need to look on the field to break this game down.

Watson has played very little football over the past three seasons, and he hasn't looked particularly good when he has. When you watch footage of him, he doesn't look like the player who broke into the league and was an instant success. He's not hitting receivers in the hands and it doesn't look like he has much of a rhythm.

The Browns defense, however, is incredible and carried them to the playoffs last season with Joe Flacco at quarterback. Can that happen again if Watson isn't holding up his end of the bargain? I'm skeptical.

On the other side, I think this is a great spot for Prescott. People seem to only be remembering the playoff loss to the Packers and not the great season he had that led the Cowboys to the NFC East championship.

In the regular season, though, Prescott has been very good to us. Especially at home, the Cowboys usually cover against bad teams. It's on the road where the issues are more prevalent.

I've been on the Cowboys here from the start. When Lamb's holdout continued into training camp, I waited to get a better number and it went up to +2.5. I was hoping this number would get to Cowboys +3, but it doesn't look like it's going to get there. I'm still on the Dallas side, though.

The hate on the Cowboys has gone too far. Given the questions surrounding the Browns' quarterback and offensive-line situations and Prescott's reliability in the regular season, this should be a good spot for a Dallas cover.

I think the line moving from +1.5 to +2.5 is more about off-the-field narratives than on-the-field realities. Give me Dallas.

Cowboys vs. Browns Prediction: Cowboys to Cover the Spread

NFL Week 1 Props

Dak Prescott

  • Passing yards: Over/under 246.5
  • Passing TDs: Over/under 1.5 (Over +120, Under -155)
  • To throw an INT: Yes -145, No +110

Deshaun Watson

  • Passing yards: Over/under 220.5
  • To throw a TD: Over/under 1.5 (Over +125, Under -160)
  • To throw an INT: Yes -135, No +105

For more Browns vs. Cowboys props, head over to our live updating NFL props page.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns Injury Report

Cowboys Injuries

  • TE John Stephens is out with hamstring

Browns Injuries

  • T Jack Conklin is questionable with knee
  • RB Nick Chubb Out Knee Chubb is out with knee
  • T Jedrick Wills is out with knee

For the latest on NFL injuries, be sure to check out our NFL Injury Report page.

How To Watch Cowboys vs. Browns

Location:Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland
Date:Sunday, Sept. 8
Kickoff Time:4:25 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:FOX

Browns vs. Cowboys is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET live from SoFi Stadium on Sunday. The game is live on FOX and other streaming platforms, such as YouTube TV.

NFL Weather

Get the latest coverage on NFL Weather.

About the Author
Simon Hunter is a senior analyst at the Action Network and co-host of The Favorites podcast, sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook. After starting sports betting in high school, he refined his skills while working as a runner for professional bettors in Las Vegas for several years. Simon joined the Action Network in 2019 and now shares his expertise on NFL spreads and totals, leveraging years of hands-on experience in the industry.

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