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Patriots vs Bengals Predictions, Picks, Odds: NFL Week 12 Preview

Patriots vs Bengals Predictions, Picks, Odds: NFL Week 12 Preview article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Drake Maye, Joe Flacco.

The New England Patriots (9-2) and Cincinnati Bengals (3-7) will meet in Week 12 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The game will broadcast live on CBS.

The Patriots are 7.5-point favorites over the Bengals on the spread (Patriots -7.5), with the over/under set at 50.5 total points. New England is a -380 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Cincinnati is +290 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Patriots vs Bengals predictions and my NFL picks for Sunday, November 23.


Patriots vs Bengals Prediction, Picks

  • Patriots vs Bengals pick: Bengals Moneyline (+300)

My Bengals vs. Patriots best bet is on Cincinnati moneyline, with the best price currently available at bet365. However, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.


Patriots vs Bengals Odds for NFL Week 12

Patriots Logo
Sunday, November 23
1:00 p.m. ET
CBS
Bengals Logo
Patriots Odds
SpreadOver/UnderMoneyline
-7.5
-105
50.5
-110o / -110u
-380
Bengals Odds
SpreadOver/UnderMoneyline
+7.5
-115
50.5
-110o / -110u
+290
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
FanDuel Logo


New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals NFL Preview

Let's get a little crazy and go with the Bengals moneyline against New England.

Ja’Marr Chase is suspended after spitting on Jalen Ramsey. Considering he's the NFL leader in receptions, that's obviously a big loss for the Bengals.

I know DE Trey Hendrickson is also out, and that the Bengals defense stinks, as does their offensive line, but we may be due for a vintage Joe Flacco game.

According to Evan Abrams, Flacco has faced Mike Vrabel as a head coach twice in his career as a starter (with the Broncos and Ravens), and his teams are 2-0 SU/ATS in those game, winning by a combined score of 37-0.

Of course, the wild card for this game is that Joe Burrow could make his return.

He's practiced all week and reports have been positive, but there's been no official word at the time of writing.

The Patriots have had the easiest schedule in the league so far this season.

Maybe they are a little fat and happy, likely due for a weird loss, just like every other NFL team would be sitting at 9-2 with a two-game lead in the division.

Even the best of the best tend to have a couple of games each year where they simply don't show up, and this game would fit the bill for New England, playing at Cincinnati against a Bengals team that has been awful lately, while New England is on cruise control and everything is great.


Patriots vs Bengals Betting Predictions, Analysis

The Patriots have won eight straight games.

Teams on a straight up (SU) winning streak of 8+ games are 39-61-2 ATS (39%) since 2010, including 11-20-1 against the spread (ATS) since 2020.

When a team is on the road on an 8+ game win streak, they are 14-34 ATS since 2010.

Notably, the Patriots lost DE Milton Williams — that's a significant absence.

The Bengals found some life in the run game as of late, and not having Chase obviously hurts because you want to attack the Patriots with your star wide receiver, but look out for Mitchell Tinsley.

All that guy does is make circus catches.

So, let's take a shot with the Bengals moneyline in this spot. Just a gut feel here.

Note: I like the Bengals moneyline even if Joe Burrow doesn't come back for this game.

Patriots vs Bengals Best Bet

  • Bengals Moneyline (+300)
Playbook

Patriots vs Bengals Betting Trends


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Patriots vs Bengals Weather

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Patriots vs Bengals Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming

Location:Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
Date:Sunday, Nov. 23
Time:1 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming Options:CBS
Author Profile
About the Author

Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

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